comment Lai Ching-te     William Lai,  Taiwan president

 
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comment Lai Ching-te, Taiwan's president   (Lai Ching-te takes up the mantle from his DPP predecessor Tsai Ing-wen since May 20, 2024.)

 

Reuters, 2025-1-17:  Taiwan's top China official says Beijing must stop shunning Lai;  Taiwan's government "will not tolerate" Beijing's active engagement solely with opposition politicians while it refuses dialogue with Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te's democratically elected administration, the Nikkei newspaper reported   The Hill, 2025-1-16  : Former Vice President Mike Pence arrived in Taiwan; Pence wrote an op-ed in August for The Washington Post in which he warned a “new and troubling strain of isolationism is emerging within the Republican Party that advocates turning our backs on Taiwan and other allies.”
 

 former presidential candidate Ko and his supports accused a political vendetta

◆  Washington Post, 2025-1-17 With Ko's indictment, the KMT and TPP are accusing Lai of abusing his powers to politically influence the judiciary.  Opposition supporters have been holding large-scale demonstrations in recent weeks.  Ko denies the charges, which his supporters say are politically motivated. “It's political persecution",  "an end to “DPP tyranny”.
In last year's presidential election, Ko with his party's strong performance key to why Lai's ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) lost its legislative majority.
msn.com/en-us/news/world/taiwan-may-cut-its-defense-budget-just-as-trump-returns/ar-AA1xmU6y?ocid=BingNewsVerp
◆  New York Times,   2024-12-26 Ko has denied the charges and said that he was the victim of a political vendetta mounted by Mr. Lai's government...thousands of supporters  gathered in protests, arguing that the allegations were  flimsy and politically motivated, and that seemingly corrupt politicians from Mr. Lai's DPParty had been spared investigations.    “What's important to keep in mind is that the sort of political force that he awakened in Taiwan is not going to go away,” said  Lev Nachman, a political scientist at NCCU.   nytimes.com/2024/12/26/world/asia/taiwan-presidential-candidate-indicted.html
◆  Bloomberg,   2024-12-26 The Taiwan People's Party (founded by Ko) denounced the indictment in a press briefing : “Today, Taiwan is experiencing judicial injustice, with politics and state machinery being used to persecute political opponents,” The indictment “lacks financial evidence and concrete proof, relying solely on pieced-together claims to destroy political adversaries.”
◆  BBC,   2024-12-26 A dark horse in presidential election, Ko won votes not far behind ruling party candidate Lai Ching-te's 40% His sizable showing pointed to voters' demand for a more pluralistic political landscape beyond the two main parties.   Ko was expected to seek the presidency again in 2028.    His allies and supporters accused the DPP of using the charges to suppress its opponents.

 

Taiwan Lawmakers Brawl Over Controversial Bills

◆   Bloomberg,   2024-12-20 A new wave of political wrangling between Taiwan's ruling and opposition parties that has involved street protests and lawmakers tussling adds to questions about President Lai Ching-te's ability to govern one of the world's most dangerous geopolitical hotspots.
◆   Bloomberg,   2024-12-23 Taiwan's government said a legal change to budget rules could derail its 2025 spending plan, underscoring challenges the opposition is posing to the new leader of the democracy at the core of China-US tensions.
◆   Newsweek, AP News, France24 2024-12-20 Several lawmakers were injured during the confrontation.  A DPP leader said that the party's actions were extreme but that it had no other options.   The dispute centers on three bills pushed by the Nationalist Party (KMT, the opposition).
◆  CBS,   2024-12-20, video cbsnews.com/chicago/video/taiwan-lawmakers-brawl-over-controversial-legislation/   

 

Taiwan's pres. Lai flies to US, angering China

◆   Financial Times, 2024-12-15 Big Chinese naval exercise  to "punish" its president, Lai Ching-te, for a trip abroad (included U.S.) leaves Taiwan and US struggling for response.
Taiwan:  the manoeuvres involved all three of the PLA's coastal theatre commands for the first time, a demonstration that they can lock down the First Island Chain.
◆  United States Institute of Peace   China's military exercise refrained from formally announcing might be by design: a ploy to maximize psychological pressure on Taiwan, a strategy to avoid provoking a response from the United States, or an indirect way of acknowledging Lai's restraint in foregoing a stopover in the continental United States.
◆  New York Times,   2024-12-10 Taiwan says China has deployed largest fleet of ships in decades.
◆  EuroNews,   2024-12-11 The ships' movements are largely seen as a response to Taiwan's President, Lai Ching-te, visiting Hawaii and Guam last week.  China may be holding back from a higher-profile exercise in case Lai decides to visit the US next year.
◆  Global Times (China) , 2024-12-6 Lai Ching-te is compelled to pledge loyalty to the US during his brief "stopover," said Zheng Jian, a professor at the Taiwan Research Institute of Xiamen University.
◆  Deutsche Welle (Germany), 2024-12-3 Lai did not receive a formal government reception...No meetings with high-ranking US officials were reported during his two-day stopover
◆   Wall Street Journal,   2024-12-2 Trump has publicly called for Taiwan to spend more to defend itself and has accused Taiwan's world-class chip makers of stealing American jobs.  In a closed-door speech delivered in English, Lai appeared to address some of those criticisms, outlining plans to bolster the country's self-defense. Lai promised deepening cooperation with the U.S. in the semiconductor industry.
◆  New York Times,   2024-11-30 Taiwan's government tries to fathom what changes President-elect Donald J. Trump will bring to U.S. dealings with TaiwanIn uncertain times, Taiwan needs every edge of international advantage that it can get. Taiwanese leaders have used their brief stops to promote stronger ties with the United States; This time, Mr. Lai will not set foot in the continental United States, reducing opportunities for high-profile meetings.
◆  Wall Street Journal,   2024-12-1 Taiwan's President begins Hawaii stopover despite China's protests.  "Transits" are part of careful arrangements made between Washington and Taipei to allow its leaders to engage with each other on American soil after the two severed formal diplomatic ties in 1979.
◆  CNN,   2024-11-30 Chinese government labeled Lai's visit as "a provocative act", and could respond by staging a fresh round of military drills near the island democracy.  China hopes to create an incident during the transition period in the United States to create pressure on the incoming Trump team by drawing a red line.
◆  AFP (France),   2024-11-30 President Lai Ching-te's trip has ignited fiery threats from Beijing. Bonnie GlaserLai's tour of the Pacific was an opportunity for him "to show those countries and the world that Taiwan matters".  China always wants to leave the impression that Taiwan is isolated and it is dependent on the PRC".
◆  Deutsche Welle (Germany),   2024-11-30  China has slammed the trip as a step toward independence from Beijing, and described Lai's planned stopover in the US territory of Guam as "separatist actions."

 

◆ Daily Mail (UK) , 2024-11-23:  In a war simulation by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)showed devastating costs for all involved. The grim war simulations come at a time of political upheaval, with Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te taking a tougher line on China ◆ Brookings, 2024-11-22: To many in Beijing, Taiwan's leaders are testing the boundaries of China's tolerance by incrementally advancing efforts to permanently separate Taiwan from China. American officials generally do not judge that Taiwan President Lai Ching-te has taken steps to undermine peace and stability.◆ Wall Street Journal, 2024-11-18: Some in Taiwan say its survival as a self-ruled democracy is at stake, that it can't afford to spend what Trump demands on defense and that it would wither in the crossfire of a U.S.-China trade war.  But Lai Ching-te said “I'm confident that the longstanding partnership between Taiwan and the U.S. will keep being a key pillar of stability in the region”.◆ The Hill, 2024-11-22: The People's Liberation Army recently ringed Taiwan with a major military and Coast Guard exercise to demonstrate its sovereignty claim and to warn Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te against pursuing independence.  Accepting the actions of the Chinese Coast Guard "conducted law enforcement patrols in the waters surrounding Taiwan" as lawful is to accept Beijing's “One China principle” and to acquiesce in China's claim that Taiwan falls under its sovereignty. ◆ The Diplomat, 2024-11-15: 56 percent of Taiwanese respondents showing a preference for her over former President Donald Trump.  In the wake of the U.S. elections, the administration of Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te has largely sought to reassure that it expects Taiwan-U.S. ties to be stable.  ◆ Bloomberg, 2024-11-15: Taiwan's Lai to Pass Through US Weeks Before Trump Takes Office

 


SCMP (2024-11-23): Taiwan's William Lai Ching-te slides to a new low in popularity, plagued by political turmoil and  a wave of social discontent
 


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 Taiwan's Lai Ching-te and China's Xi JinPing congratulate Trump

◆   The Hill, 2024-11-6 Taiwan president congratulates Trump on victoryWilliam Lai Ching-te  posted on the social platform X. “I'm confident that the longstanding Taiwan-US partnership, built on shared values & interests, will continue to serve as a cornerstone for regional stability & lead to greater prosperity for us all.”

Trump has made several incendiary comments about Taiwan, saying it should have to pay the U.S. to defend the nation against China and that Taipei stole the United States's ability to make semiconductors. He has also called Chinese President Xi Jinping “brilliant.”

 CNA, 2024-11-6

Robert O'Brien expresses thanks

◆  Bloomberg, 2024-11-6 Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te is considering trying to make a call to Donald Trump after his US election victory,  in a move that would likely be seen by Beijing as a sign of Taiwan seeking to assert independence. 
Lai has no plan to arrange a congratulatory call with Trump, the Presidential Office said in a statement ( 到目前為止沒有規畫致電表達祝賀之意)
 央視(CCTV), Dagens (UK), 2024-11-7 Xi Jinping Congratulates Trump, Pushes for Peaceful U.S.-China Future. 

Chinese President Xi Jinping personally called Donald Trump to congratulate him on his election victory, according to China's Foreign Ministry.  "History has shown that China and the United States benefit from cooperation and lose from confrontation. Stable, healthy and stable Sino-American relations meet the common interests of both countries and the expectations of the international community," Xi stated, as reported by Ukrinform's own correspondent.He expressed optimism that both nations would continue to uphold principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and mutually beneficial cooperation.  "We look forward to further strengthening dialogue and communication with Washington and to managing differences responsibly, finding ways to expand cooperation for the benefit of both countries and the world," Xi added.

 




 


pic.: "comment Lai Ching-te" (Chinese version) ranks No.1 onYandex of Russia , 2025-1-11, 2024-12-22, 2024-12-1, 2024-10-13, 2024-9-25, 2024-1-26, 2023-12-25, 2023-12-18, 2023-11-23, 2023-10-25, 2023-10-13, 2023-10-3, 2023-9-18, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-29, 2023-8-19, 2023-8-8, 2023-8-1, 2023-7-28, 2023-7-24 ; No.3 at 2024-8-26, 2024-8-14; among top ranks at 2024-7-22, 2024-7-9

 

 

Retrocession Day (Oct. 25)
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retrocession_Day#:~:text=Retrocession%20Day%20is%20the%20annual,China%20on%2025%20October%201945.

◆   Reuters (UK) , 2024-10-25 Taiwan President Lai Ching-te said no "external force" can change our future, visiting sensitive frontline islands Kinmen for the 75th anniversary of a key victory over communist forces. The Kinmen battle (1949-10-25) was a rare victory for (KMT) Chiang Kai-shek's forces in the final days of China's civil war.
 Global Times, 2024-10-26 Mainland (China) slams DPP for silence on anniversary (Retrocession Day at 1945-10-25) of Taiwan recovery from Japanese occupation. "It is hoped that the majority of Taiwan compatriots will remember the history of Taiwan's martyrs' resistance to the Japanese invasion".  Lai Ching-te said that the Battle of Guningtou (Kinmen) in October 25, 1949 represents determination to protect "our country"  which analysts viewed as yet another provocative move following his secessionist "Double Ten" speech on October 10. 

 

◆ United States Institute of Peace, 2024-10-24: Lai may have been attempting to lower the temperature after a series of earlier provocative remarks that stoked Beijing's ire. China's bellicose response to his more moderate remarks may lead Lai to believe there is nothing he can do to lower the temperature. ◆ The Hill, 2024-10-25: The inauguration in May of Taiwanese President William Lai Ching-te has only escalated tensions; he is pro-U.S.  ◆ NY Times, 2024-10-22: The frequency of the exercises suggests that China is stepping up its intimidation efforts: The Chinese military has held two such large-scale exercises since Mr. Lai took office in May, the same number that it held over the previous eight years.◆   Wall Street Journal, 2024-10-17: Chinese officials described the encirclement drill as a “firm and mighty punishment” after Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te said it is “absolutely impossible” for China to be the “motherland” of Taiwan On Taiwan's National Day Mr. Lai vowed to “resist annexation or encroachment upon our sovereignty.”◆   AFP, 2024-10-17: China toughens Taiwan stance over president's sovereignty defence.  China warned after the speech that Lai's "provocations" would result in "disaster" for the people of Taiwan.  "One very big difference between Tsai and Lai is that in Beijing's consideration, Tsai might be more moderate, in the middle of the spectrum of unification and independence", Taiwan's expert said.  ◆   New York Times, 2024-10-16: China's drills were aimed at demonstrating its potential to choke Taiwan's access to food and fuel and block the skies and waters from which the United States and its allies would presumably approach in coming to the island's defense. “China continues to press up against the contiguous zone so these activities are coming closer and closer to Taiwan shores,” said David Sacks ◆   Le monde, 2024-10-15: China steps up pressure on Taiwan as military drills prepare for potential invasion. Making Taiwanese fighters modernization is an acute necessity.  ◆   Wall Street Journal, 2024-10-17: Mainland officials depict President Lai Ching-te as an advocate for Taiwan's independence—a red line for Beijing. Lai says he is committed to preserving the status quo.

 

 What did China comment Taiwan's National Day speech
Reuters (2024-10-13): Taiwan's security was continuing to watch Chinese media comments about Taiwan president Lai's national day speech.

◆   New York Times (US) , 2024-10-13 Beijing accused the self-governing island's president of promoting independence in a National Day address.   Lai's remarks were an attempt to “sever the historical connections between the two sides.” Mr. Lai was “heightening tensions in the Taiwan Strait for his selfish political interest”nytimes.com/2024/10/13/world/asia/china-taiwan-war-games.html?ysclid=m28fat62dp684342561  
 Reuters (UK), 2024-10-14 China starts new round of war games near Taiwan, offers no end date.  "The drill also serves as a stern warning to the separatist acts of Taiwan independence forces. It is a legitimate and necessary operation for safeguarding state sovereignty and national unity"
◆  Xinhua, 2024-10-14

China's "Joint Sword-2024B" drills are a powerful deterrent to the separatist activities of "Taiwan independence" elements

◆  Global Times, 2024-10-13 Some Western media referred to Lai's speech as "softer" than his recent speeches.  However, Lai's speech is‘a poison pill wrapped in cellophane’. It is evident that Lai is not merely talking about "Taiwan independence" — he is actively taking steps to promote it.   The "ROC" Lai refers to is a "Taiwanized ROC" which is fundamentally distinct from the ROC advocated by the Kuomintang (KMT) - encompasses the mainland.  Lai's changes are merely tactical adjustments.  The core and essence remained unchanged: promoting "Taiwan independence" has not changed; the confrontational stance toward the mainland has not changed; the narrative of playing the "democracy and freedom" card has not changed; the methods of colluding with external forces have not changed; the tactic of blaming the mainland for the deterioration of cross-Straits relations has not changed; and the hyping of the "China threat" rhetoric has not changed.   By emphasizing mutual non-subordination, Lai is attempting to legitimize "Taiwan separatism"...
◆  Global Times, 2024-10-12 Taiwan regional leader Lai Ching-te's speech was steeped in hypocrisy.   “Our efforts to maintain the status quo of peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait remain unchanged.” This is a prime example of a thief crying "stop thief."  Unlike the approaches of the past, Lai is now adopting a more radical and overt strategy,  Lai's boldness is largely due to his delusion that the Chinese mainland won't take action for reunification.  Lai's other misconception is that the US will undoubtedly defend Taiwan. 
◆  China Daily, 2024-10-12 Lai Ching-te -  repackaging his new "two states" theory and deliberately provoking the mainland.  Lai has already surpassed his predecessors including Lee Teng-hui, Chen Shui-bian and Tsai Ing-wen on the path of "Taiwan independence."
◆  Global Times, 2024-10-11 Lai Ching-te proclaims himself ‘pragmatic Taiwan independence worker,’ but in fact he is a ‘pragmatic war instigator’.  Lai's stubborn promotion of the new "two states" theory has severely escalated tensions
◆  Global Times, 2024-10-10 Lai wrongly believes that as the mainland has to tackle its internal issues such as economic challenges, it will tolerate his "Taiwan independence" rhetoric and deeds in order to achieve its economic growth goals and maintain social stability. However, notably, even when the mainland was not yet powerful, it didn't hesitate to contain "Taiwan independence" and safeguard the prospects for reunification, let alone now that China is currently the second largest economy in the world with comprehensive strengths.  The US treats the island merely as a lever to counter the Chinese mainland. This approach risks turning the island into cannon fodder if a conflict really breaks out in the Taiwan Straits.

 

 Taiwan's president in first National Day speech

◆   Financial Times , 2024-10-10 Taiwan's president calls on China to ‘live up to’ duty to protect peace.  China accused Lai of “deliberately severing the historical connection” between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait; and has threatened to annex it with military force if Taipei indefinitely resists its control. China has not previously responded to a Taiwan president's national address with military moves
Wall Street Journal, 2024-10-10 Taiwan Leader Urges Calm Amid Military Threats...Lai Ching-te, who China accuses of separatism, says Beijing has no right to represent Taiwan
◆  BBC, 2024-10-10 Taiwan's president vows to resist 'annexation' 
◆  Washington Post , 2024-10-10 Lai Ching-te says Beijing has no right to represent Taiwan.
◆  Washington Examiner , 2024-10-11

Lai Ching-te declared “On this land, democracy and freedom are growing and thriving... " . These are fine words. Unfortunately, words can't shoot down missiles.  In that regard, Taiwan has a big problem.   a 2.5% of GDP defense budget is a sad joke.   Taiwanese reserve forces lack adequate training and readiness, and its military procurement remains too reliant on platforms that lack agility and survivability......

◆  Reuters, 2024-10-10 China said Lai was a stubborn adherent of Taiwan independence, full of confrontational thinking, "constantly provoking troubles and deliberately aggravating cross-strait tensions".  "Lai Ching-te has made every effort to piece together the grounds for secession"
◆  Reuters, 2024-10-12 China threatens Taiwan with more trade measures after denouncing president's speech
◆  Bloomberg , 2024-10-11 Lai reiterated that that neither side of the strait separating the two sides was “subordinate to each other.”  Beijing criticized  for sending “a dangerous signal of seeking independence.”... his speech showed “he is hell-bent on Taiwan independence and has the ill intention of heightening tensions in the Taiwan Strait for his political, selfish interest.
◆  AFP , 2024-10-10 China warned after the speech that Lai's "provocations" would result in "disaster" for the people of Taiwan.
◆  EuroNews , 2024-10-10 Taiwan celebrated its National Day amid rising tensions with China

 

◆  Reuters, 2024-10-5: It is "impossible" for the People's Republic of China to become Taiwan's motherland, the island's President Lai Ching-te said  ◆  Economist 2024-10-3: Chinese authorities call Lai Ching-te a stubborn, confrontational “separatist” who may provoke war in the Taiwan Strait. But since Mr Lai's election, PLA has been raising the chances of conflict by deploying more air and naval craft around Taiwan. Few people in Taiwan are aware of how close and regular the PLA  patrols are... too much disclosure would damage Taiwan’s public morale or economy ◆  GIS Report, 2024-9-30: Lai Ching-te seems to be a much calmer character than former President Chen, although he does not yet demonstrate the elegance of Tsai Ing-wen.  In terms of soft tactics, he still has a lot to improve. Lai Ching-te's hard approach is reflected in his conclusion that China had misinterpreted United Nations General Assembly Resolution 2758  ◆  National Interest, 2024-9-28:  Taiwan is at the center of the rising battle between the oldest modern democracy in the world, the United States, and China.  Tensions between Beijing and Taipei increased as a result of last January's presidential elections in the island that put into power the Democratic Progressive Party candidate, Lai Ching-te, who ran on a platform inimical to the interests of Beijing ◆  Crisis Group, 2024-9-26: The Widening Schism across the Taiwan Strait Beijing finds the Lai administration's cross-strait posture provocative and will escalate its already heightened pressure campaign to challenge Taiwan's de facto sovereignty.  Taipei should return to more measured, cautious public characterisations of its status and relationship to China ◆  Brookings, 2024-9-25: The Lai Ching-te administration does not believe Beijing's strategic appetite for absorbing Taiwan can be sated through dialogue, reassurance, or deeper economic integration To make progress in advancing grand strategy, the Lai administration will need to overcome deepening domestic political divides as well as challenges to Taiwan's well-being, such as limits on energy supply and demographic headwinds.    Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-9-26:  International Crisis Group  advises Taiwan's new president (Lai) should adopt a less muscular posture toward China, even if doing so is unlikely to soften Beijing's own hawkish ◆  War On The Rocks (2024-9-20): Washington is quietly watching how Taiwan's new president Lai consolidates power using the court to prosecute former vice premier Cheng Wen-tsan over corruption allegations.  The arrest and detention of TPP chair Ko Wen-je on corruption charges have Lai's critics protesting that he is using the judiciary to persecute rivals.  Washington observers might worry that Lai is undermining the independence of the judicial system  Financial Times, 2024-9-19: China's People's Liberation Army has ratcheted up patrols and drills near Taiwan to unprecedented levels since President Lai Ching-te took officeThe scale of activity is getting larger and larger, and so it is harder to discern when they might be shifting from training to a large exercise, and from an exercise to war.

 

What Lai Ching-te said

   

Lai said (via video) during the annual Concordia Summit in New York, etc and his  four-pillar plan - brief
(1) national defense as a means of achieving peace

(2) Taiwan's solidarity with the alliance of democracies is essential to  jointly deter  authoritarianism (China)  
(3) Taiwan ‘absolutely will not sign’ an agreement with Beijing implying that the nation is part of China 

United Daily 2024-9-25和民主陣營站在一起,共同發揮威懾力量,以備戰達到避戰,並強調絕不會簽署和平協定。

udn.com/news/story/6656/8249058?from=udn_ch2cate6638sub6656_pulldownmenu_v2
 

what Lai did

 
 Lai wants to rely on the United States to protect it

(1) Financial Times 9-19: Lai's national defence spending for 2025 marks a slight drop in terms of GDP, from 2.5 per cent this year to 2.45 per cent.  (by contrast, Israel 6% )  GIS Report, 2024-9-30: even to 3 percent of GDP is unlikely to satisfy U.S. expectations under a Trump administration.
(2) Washington Post, 2024-8-4:  Young Taiwanese are not answering the call.  Only 6 percent of eligible conscripts — 6,936 people — took part in the newly implemented 12-month program this year.  Taiwanese men who completed mandatory service within the last 12 years are theoretically called back for refresher training every second year;  only a fifth of the reservists who went through refresher training last year completed the newly extended two-week course, with the majority doing only five or seven days.

(3) Elbridge Colby  (co-led the Trump administration's development of its National Defense Strategy) said (Taipei Times, 2024): There are few visible indicators of a society preparing to repel an attack as one might see in, say, Israel. Indeed;  Taiwanese leaders themselves have undermined this effort by urging the US to send key weapons, industrial base attention, and money to Ukraine rather than Taiwan.
 

 Economist, 2024-9-5: polls suggest Taiwanese will to resist rests, on whether Taiwanese think America will defend them.

 
Wall Street Journal, 2024-8-28:  Elbridge Colby has fired off a flurry of social-media commentary suggesting the U.S. may not come to Taiwan's defense in the event of Chinese aggression.

247wallst.  2024-9-19:  Similar to Ukraine, the United States may opt to stay out of any armed conflict but supply Taiwan with substantial military aid to fight alone.

The Hill, 2024-9-26: Every day the U.S. sends an inadvertent message of “non-deterrence” to China.

Foreign Policy, 2023-9-8:   Deterrence in Taiwan Is Failing  /  The United States has committed to keeping the peace but isn't doing enough to stop the war

The i, 2024-8-16:   the war in Ukraine has sucked so much resource and attention from Europe that it cannot militarily support another conflict in its current state.  The US cannot prosecute a war (ps: in Taiwan) beyond the weapons and munitions in its inventory.
 

 

"cyberwar" -  pro-Russian vs Taiwan

The Jamestown Foundation , 2024-9-30 Russia was quick to respond to President Lai's suggestion:  Lai is not authorized to speak on China's behalf about the ownership of Russian territories. Taiwan should focus on China's offer of peaceful reunification.  Komsomol’skaia Pravda, February 9, 2019:  The Qing land lost is almost twice the size of modern Germany.  China's stridency towards the Soviet Union subsided following Mao's death
CNBC (USA), 2024-9-13 "a large number of foreign IPs launched invalid queries" on stock exchange network, resulting in “unstable service for a short period of time.  Local media reported this attack on the Taiwanese government and financial unites, including airports and tax bureaus by a pro-Russian hacker group in retaliation for comments made by Taiwanese President William Lai (Lai Ching-te) .cnbc.com/2024/09/13/pro-russian-hackers-crash-taiwan-stock-exchange-website-local-media-reports-.html
Daily Express (UK), 2024-9-3 Lai Ching-te  has mocked Vladimir Putin with a humiliating quip, saying his biggest ally China should take advantage of Russia being at its "weakest" and take back territory.

 

Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-9-11: Beijing wades into Taipei drama over corruption probe against TPP leader Ko Wen-je, and has accused Taiwan's president of persecuting Beijing-leaning revals  Financial Times, 2024-9-6: Prosecutors' swift moves against Cheng (former premier 鄭文燦) and Ko Wen-je (Chairman of TPP) have prompted Taiwanese commentators to question whether Lai was “cleaning house” of political rivals or pushing an anti-corruption crackdown to win back public support (divert attention from the current chaos in domestic politics.). an official at the Judicial Yuan said investigators typically sounded out their superiors before proceeding with big cases, especially those involving vested interests or politicians. “In a case like this, a signal would have been given from above before they go and detain him"  Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-9-5: Taiwan's Ko Wen-je accuses government of witch huntKo Wen-je, head of the Taiwan People's Party, vowed to fight on and launched broadsides against the legal system and the press, accusing them of doing the bidding of President Lai Ching-te's Democratic Progressive Party.  Newsweek , 2024-9-5: Russian Foreign Ministry  said Lai is "being pushed towards separatism by the Americans." ; he should focus more on attention to Taiwan's economy... ◆  US News & World Report , 2024-9-1: The TPP and KMT joined forces this year to push through reforms to give parliament greater oversight power that prompted mass protests. Those reforms, opposed by President Lai Ching-te's DPP, are being reviewed by Taiwan's constitutional court.  TPP founder Ko Wen-je was released today after being questioned in graft probe  Reuters, 2024-9-2: If China wants Taiwan it should also take back land from Russia, president Lai Ching-te says  EFE (Spain), 2024-8-29: Taiwan says not 'affiliated' with China after Wang- Sullivan meeting in Beijing; Since  William Lai (Lai Ching-te) took office in May, China has raised the tone of its threats against the “secessionists” of Taiwan ......  SCMP, 2024-8-30: Taiwan's new leader is cutting mainland ties by reframing history Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-8-27: William Lai marks 100 days in office as China and opposition test mettle; The defining themes of his presidency so far have been efforts to reform the economy, strengthen Taiwan's defenses against China's threats and deal with a confrontational opposition that controls parliament. Defense News, 2024-8-23: President Lai Ching-te's election campaign promised that defense spending would reach 3% of GDP.  Taiwan's defense expenditures in 2025 will represent 2.45% of GDP, almost identical to this year's if lawmakers approve the proposal later this month. National Review, 2024-8-23: the CCP's prominent Chinese People's Political and Consultative Conference body purportedly passed a resolution urging the Chinese authorities to craft a “Taiwan Province Separatist Forces Blacklist”;  The author of that resolution called for the execution of Taiwanese president William Lai    Financial Times, 2024-8-22: Taiwan's top security officials make secret trip to US for talks; Some US officials are also privately nervous about Lai, who is inexperienced in foreign affairs and seen as more unpredictable than Tsai. Atlantic Council, 2024-8-21: Lai Ching-Te and the Legislative Yuan should work together to increase defense spending and military readiness. This requires ensuring that more new voluntary military recruits and conscripts are familiar with or trained in manning asymmetrical systems, such as the Stinger, Javelin, and Harpoon missiles.  AFP, 2024-8-21:  Lai Ching-te points to Beijing's joint exercises with Russia in the South China Sea, Western Pacific and Sea of Japan.  Lai has repeatedly made overtures for dialogue with Beijing but talks have effectively dried up since the 2016 election of his predecessor, Tsai Ing-wen, who has long said Taiwan is not part of China.   Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-8-15: Excessive U.S. pressure on Taiwan defense spending plays into (China) CCP's hands   GIS Report (Geopolitical Intelligence Services), 2024-8-15: Lai Ching-te is struggling to counter the creative use of pressure coming from China. Lai's governance style is seen as more “manly” and unafraid of conflict, while lacking a degree of sophistication.     Council on Foreign Relations, 2024-8-9: Taiwan's President, Lai Ching-te, has unveiled plans to increase defense spending by nearly six percent.   Taiwan should do all it can to prepare for the worst and mounts a stiff resistance if deterrence fails. To that end, Taiwan's leaders should embrace a new defense spending target of five percent of GDP and rapidly meet that goal through yearly double-digit percentage increases   Washington Post, Star and Strips, 2024-8-4: the “Zero Day” show's bleak assessment of Taiwanese readiness to fight touches upon a very real problem facing President Lai Ching-te.  Matt Pottinger says that Taiwan needs the political will and foresight to dedicate some of its best military officers to recruitment and instruction. “I'm really hoping that Taiwan makes these sacrifices"

 

 Should biological males compete against women?    Taiwan's Olympic Controversies - Lin won a Gold medal in female boxing

nThe Diplomat, 2024-8-6: a global furor over a boxer's gender. n Fox News, 2024-8-4: Debate over the biological sex of a boxer who won women's match at the Olympic Games is sweeping the globe.  n Fox News, 2024-8-11:  The IBA has said that Lin had an unfair advantage against female opponents.

West

Taiwan

Associated Press News, 2024-8-11: The two boxers' detractors included former U.S. President Donald Trump, “Harry Potter” author J.K. Rowling and Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni. Their presence in Paris became a weapon in a largely Western culture clash over eligibility for women's sports.

BBC, 2024-8-12: high profile figures like ex-US President Donald Trump and English author JK Rowling took to social media to decry the decision to let them compete in the women's categories.

Reuters, 2024-8-7: Tesla founder Elon Musk voicing their opposition to the two boxers competing at the Games.

Fox News , 2024-8-4: ...a positive test for "XY chromosomes. The IBA: said Lin and Khelif have competitive advantages.

BBC, 2024-8-9:  Dr Emma Hilton, a developmental biologist who studies genetic disorders.  argues Imane Khelif and Lin Yu-ting shouldn’t be competing until further testing is done.Some are calling for mandatory sex testing at the next Olympics - including Reem Alsalem, the UN's special rapporteur on violence against women and girls.  “Screening DNA is now a piece of cake".
Axios, 2024-8-9: Khelif : The attacks came from a host of prominent Republicans as well as celebrities

Reuters, 2024-8-7: Taiwan President Lai Ching-te said Lin had been "maliciously attacked" by the IBA.  "Yu-Ting is still under a lot of unfair pressure..."

 

BBC, 2024-8-12: Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te calls Lin a "daughter of Taiwan," saying she had made Taiwan proud.   " she has overcome misinformation and cyberbullying" .

 

Independent, 2024-8-8: "Let's cheer for Lin Yu-ting together", wrote Tsai Ing-wen, Taiwan's first female president , adding that Lin was seeking victory for herself and honour for Taiwan.
PS: Taiwan's The China Times (2024-8-13): Olympics Paris forced one of Taiwan's athletes to do gender test. (巴黎奧運公然對台灣某位選手無禮,竟強迫她去作性別檢查) chinatimes.com/opinion/20240813001656-262110?chdtv

 

  TIME, 2024-8-2: Harry Potter writer J.K. Rowling, a key opinion leader, is publicly questioning the Taiwanese athlete's ( Olympian Lin Yu Ting has XY chromosomes ) gender (a transgender ) and doubling down on opposition to the participation of athletes like Lin. Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te's spokesperson said that Lin “has shown incredible strength, overcoming doubts to compete fairly on the world stage. Your determination inspires the nation!”   Bloomberg, 2024-7-30: Taiwan President Lai Ching-te pledged to work with other democracies around the world to stand up to China, and “continue to push for defense autonomy” and weapons procurement from overseas, his comments likely to deepen his rift with Beijing.◆  Reuters, 2024-7-30: Taiwan president (Lai Ching-te) warns on China, pushes defence self-reliance ◆  Benzinga, 2024-7-30: After Trump's Taiwan comments, President Lai Ching Te says 'China's threat to any individual country is a threat to the world'◆  Independent (UK), 2024-7-30: Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be worse global crisis than Ukraine war or Covid, warns president Lai Ching-te  ◆  Politico, 2024-7-25: Trump spooks Taiwan / The political class of Taiwan is increasingly uneasy that a Donald Trump victory in Nov. may make Taiwan a bargaining chip in U.S. diplomacy with Beijing.  Trump also suggested that trying to defend the island would be futile ◆  Associated Press, 2024-7-24: President Lai Ching-te stressed the need for the island to continue exercises simulating an attack by enemies amid 'changing geopolitics'.◆  Bloomberg, 2024-7-22: Taiwan's President risks angering China with 'National Identity' call Lai Ching-te urges DPP to protect Taiwan sovereignty. KMT lawmaker said it smacked of “ideology and nationalism” and was a sign that Lai was moving toward despotism ◆  US News, 2024-7-21: Taiwan must protect its sovereignty and know its own culture and history, President Lai Ching-te said, rejecting what he said was the previous mistaken belief the island could serve as a base to "retake" China.  ◆  New York Times, 2024-7-16: China is putting more military and political pressure on Taiwan and its new president (Lai Ching-te), whose rhetoric has been sharper than his predecessor's... Mr. Lai with hard choices about how and when to push back or exercise restraint Bloomberg, TIME, 2024-7-11: China sent a record number of warplanes across a U.S.-drawn boundary in the Taiwan Strait—a move that comes as the new president (Lai Ching-te) of the archipelago mulls a trip that may include a stop in America Financial Times, 2024-7-10: President Lai Ching-te has made improving civil defences a priority since he took office.  However experts warn that Taiwan remains woefully underprepared for war. Reuters, 2024-7-9: Taiwan president says ahead of annual war games that "In history, there are many cases where the few win out over the many, and there are countless ways to win over old-fashioned enemies with new thinking." National Interest, 2024-7-5: Taiwan seeks to escape its history /  Lai Ching-te said Taiwan has been an international entity ... since 1624.  DPP administrations have issued textbooks that teach Taiwan's history separately from Chinese history.   But The Struggle for Taiwan : Taiwan was, in fact, part of the Chinese empire from 1683 to 1895, and part of the Japanese empire after the First Sino-Japanese War (1894–5).  US President Franklin Roosevelt at the wartime Cairo Conference (1943) agreed that Taiwan would be “restored to the Republic of China” after the defeat of Japan.  However, Lai's clear preference for Taiwan's permanent separation from China echoes almost verbatim an emerging U.S. argument that Taiwan's geostrategic importance dictates that Washington should never allow China to gain control over it.   nationalinterest.org/feature/taiwan-seeks-escape-its-history-211750
 

China seized Taiwan boat with crew for fishing illegally -  a move could add to tensions between Beijing and President Lai Ching-te of Taiwan.

  New York Times, 2024-7-3 China Seizes Taiwanese Fishing Boat in Latest Uptick in Tensions; Bonnie Glaser: China wants to demonstrate to Taiwan that it does not have control over air space and sea space...and sends a  signal to Lai Ching-te that he is very close to their red lines and he had better not cross them.
 Bloomberg, 2024-7-3 China sees Lai Ching-te as pushing for independence for the US-backed island...Officials in Taipei have also expressed concern that China will detain more individuals from the island to pile pressure on Lai.

 

 


 


pic.: "comment Lai Ching-te"(Chinese version "評論賴清德") ranks No.1 on Microsoft Bing , 2024-10-13, 2024-10-1, 2024-8-8, 2024-7-1, 2024-6-1, 2024-5-1, 2024-4-10, 2024-3-21, 2024-3-15, 2024-1-26, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-25, 2023-12-18, 2023-11-22, 2023-10-25, 2023-10-13, 2023-10-3, 2023-9-28, 2023-9-18, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-29, 2023-8-19, 2023-8-8, 2023-8-1, 2023-7-31, 2023-7-25, 2023-7-24

 

 

pic.: "comment Lai Ching-te" (Chinese version "評論賴清德") ranks No.1 on MetaGER.de (Germany) , 2024-8-8, 2024-7-1, 2024-5-20, 2024-5-8, 2024-5-2, 2024-4-10, 2024-3-22, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-18, 2023-11-23, 2023-10-25, 2023-9-18, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-29, 2023-8-19

 

 

 

 

Washington Examiner, 2024-7-2: Xi Jinping's regime is setting the legal and diplomatic table for a crackdown on Taiwan while blaming the United States for the growing possibility of war over the island democracy...  “The Chinese government has the right to expel this regime..."  The ominous rhetoric seems to express in part Xi’s displeasure with Lai Ching-Te   Washington Post, 2024-7-1: China: Taiwan's leadership, along with its supporters in the United States, is pursuing “separation” from China in “incremental” fashion.   Nikkei Asia , 2024-7-2: China pressures Taiwan's Lai (Ching-te) with most jet fighters in nearly 2 years  ◆ Asia Society, 2024-6-26: Lai Ching-te's inauguration speech, however, was clear and much less restrained than that of his predecessor, Tsai Ing-wen, whose rhetorical flair in public speeches opted for cautious and strategically dull wording. In fact, Lai placed greater emphasis on the differences between Taiwan and the PRC  Wall Street Journal, 2024-6-23: Lai Ching-te said he aimed to make Taiwan the “Asian center for the democratic drone supply chain."; Taiwan has the know-how to build its own unmanned aircraft, now it is a question of scale.  CNN, 2024-6-21: China has made no secret of its dislike of President Lai Ching-te.   China threatens death penalty for ‘diehard’ Taiwan separatists  Bloomberg, 2024-6-21: Activities that can lead to guilty verdicts include promoting Taiwan's membership in international organizations and conducting official exchanges and military contacts with other nations, according to a legal opinion issued by China's top court ;  But The opinion didn't name  new President Lai Ching-te or his predecessor, Tsai I. W.   Voice of America, 2024-6-13:  International Crisis Group expert: Beijing's approach, it seems at least for now, is really to lean on Washington to keep the incoming Lai administration on a more moderate course   TIME, 2024-6-13: new president Lai Ching-te : "dignity and equivalence with the PRC" means 1. the PRC should recognize that the Republic of China exists. 2. each issue should be mutually beneficial and reciprocal  3.share a common conviction to enhance the well-being of people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, working toward an objective of peace and mutual prosperity  VOA, 2024-6-13: The future of Taiwan, at least for the next four years, largely depends on the actions of the island's new president, Lai Ching-te.  Neue Zürcher Zeitung (Swiss), 2024-6-6:  Taiwan's president, Lai Ching-te wanted to lead the island to independence. Expert in Australia says an attack by China on Taiwan would also lead to conflicts in the South China Sea, which is claimed by China, and attacks by North Korea on South Korea. United States Institute of Peace , 2024-6-6:Given Lai Ching-te's tougher line on China and Beijing's unyielding position on Taiwan, it's unlikely that cross-Strait relations will improve or that tensions will lower anytime soon.  Washington should remain laser-focused on helping Taiwan defend itself and deter military conflict.   Washington Examiner, 2024-6-4: The frosty relationship between Taiwan and China over the past eight years got even colder after Taiwanese leader Lai Ching-te took office   CNN, 2024-6-4: Taiwan celebrities in crossfire of political battle as tensions with China rise   /   Ashin – one of Taiwan's biggest music stars – had referred to himself as Chinese...  Taiwan President Lai Ching-te says 'We should offer them understanding and empathy'.     Washington Examiner, 2024-5-31: In 'punishment drills', China stages dress rehearsal of military assault on Taiwan.  Foreign Affairs : invasion does not appear to be China's preferred option. Beijing's more probable plan is to gradually intensify the policy: a creeping encroachment into Taiwan's airspace, maritime space, and information space. The United States must become more alert to the dangers posed by a slow strangulation of Taiwan. Newsweek, 2024-5-31: Lai Ching-te faced China's largest-scale military exercises in nearly two years... Bonnie Glaser expects more military drills around Taiwan intended to intimidate and warn the new Lai administration against pursuing independence actions Washington Times, 2024-5-29: Joint Sword 2024A drills is also a strategic signal to Taiwanese President William Lai letting him know that every day of his administration will be under the threat of invasion, regardless of whether or not it happens. Chinese President Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party are betting this will have a huge psychological impact on Mr. Lai and perhaps he will crack under the pressure and give in, or he will make a mistake and give Beijing an excuse to invade Taiwan.    SUN (Malaysia), RT, 2024-6-1: Beijing is showing it's willing to go to war over Taiwan, and it's preparing for the inevitable consequences behind the scenes.  full text

   CSIS  ChinaPower Project, 2024-5-25 /   Chinese officials and state media have made six different criticisms of Lai's inauguration speech:
1.  It distorts Taiwan's relations with China, does not recognize that Taiwan is part of China, promotes a two-state theory, and labels China as a foreign country;
2.  It seeks external involvement and intervention to support Taiwan independence and to make Taiwan a pawn for the west;
3.  It tries to use democracy as a guise to pursue independence and undermine peace and stability;
4.  It exaggerates and stokes the military threat from China;
5.  It weaponizes Taiwan public opinion against China;
6.  It does not accurately reflect mainstream public opinion in Taiwan

 

AFP, 2024-5-24: China's military drills encircle Taiwan  /  China warns that Taiwan's leadership was pushing the self-ruled island into war and warned of further "countermeasures"  The United Nations called for all sides to avoid escalation. CNBC, 2024-5-24: This military drill is a signal to shape international narratives.  The real 'punishment' against Taiwan may be yet to come, for it takes time.", expert with the Atlantic Council's Global China Hub said.  Lai Ching-te may "become emboldened" to depart further from his predecessor Tsai Ing-wen's relatively cautious positioning and "act on his pro-independence instincts  Reuters, Korea Times, 2024-5-24: Beijing was sending a finely calibrated warning that Chinese forces could attempt a swift blockade if it wanted to bring Lai to heel   ◆ Financial Times, 2024-5-22: Lai Ching-te's language on sovereignty has already strayed from the path taken by his more cautious predecessor. Washington Post, 2024-5-20: Taiwan swears in new president, the ruling party DPP has transformed the island democracy into a bulwark against Chinese aggression and brushed off increasingly ominous threats from Beijing; the perception is that Lai Ching-te's policy could be more provocative compared to Tsai's policy New York Times, 2024-5-20: Taiwan's president, Lai Ching-te vows to keep the island democracy safe in the face of Chinese pressure and wars raging abroad 

 


 

Bloomberg : "He wants to lead Taiwan, But can he keep peace?"


pic.: "comment Lai Ching-te"(Chinese version "評論賴清德") ranks No.1 on US Yahoo , 2024-7-1, 2023-12-31, 2023-12-17, 2023-11-22, 2023-10-25, 2023-9-28, 2023-9-18, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-28
 

 

 


 

 

China Launches Military Drills Around Taiwan as 'Punishment', 'Reprisals'

 New York Times, 2024-5-22 China took offense to Mr. Lai's assertion that  —  they “are not subordinate to each other” —  and his emphasis on Taiwan's democratic identity and warnings against threats from China. Beijing accused Mr. Lai of promoting formal independence for Taiwan ── the drill was “based on various stages of an invasion of Taiwan... might feature training to seize one of those islands.
BBC, 2024-5-23 the ongoing exercise is aimed at "simulating a full-scale armed invasion of Taiwan"... for the first time also targeted the Taipei-controlled islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu and DongyinChina aims to show Taipei that its east is now exposed to Chinese attack, and to show the Americans that any effort to resupply or re-enforce Taiwan from the east is vulnerable to Chinese missile strikes and naval attack.
AFP, 2024-5-23 China holds war games around Taiwan, vows flowing blood CCTV : the drills were partly aimed at rehearsing an economic blockade of the island, "strangle" Taiwan's critical Kaohsiung port to "severely impact" its foreign trade,  and cut off "Taiwan's lifeline of energy imports" as well as "block the support lines that some US allies provide to 'Taiwan independence' forces".   General S. Sklenka described the exercises as "concerning" but not unexpected.
CNN, 2024-5-22 CCTV: creating an omnidirectional approach in pushing toward the island.  An expert ( at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peacecalls China's latest drills “an intimidation tactic, part of a pattern, not a sign of imminent war.” Beijing has a robust coercion kitbag from which it will mix and match, ratchet up and back and up again to signal its range of options to coerce and inflict pain
AFP, 2024-5-22 China slammed the inauguration speech of new Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te as a " downright 'confession of Taiwan independence'"
Washington Post, 2024-5-23 The forces were simulating strikes on “high value ‘enemy’ targets” in military drills.
Reuters, 2024-5-23 Taiwanese officials told Reuters those areas were outside its contiguous zone, which is 24 nautical miles from the main island's coast.

 

Reuters, 2024-5-20: Lai Ching-te takes office as Taiwan's new president on Monday facing an angry and deeply suspicious China which believes he is a "separatist", and a fractious parliament with an opposition chomping at the bit to challenge him. Washington Examiner, 2024-5-20: Lai, a deep green, more liberal than Biden member of the DPPLai has shown "a willingness to signal a pragmatic approach to outreach to Beijing, effectively a continuation of President Tsai's approach"  ◆ Economist (UK), 2024-5-16: Taiwan's  incoming president, Lai Ching-te, will face new challenges.  If you want the world to help in your struggle against an overbearing neighbour, you must first fight back fiercely yourselves.   AFP (French), 2024-5-16: Taiwan's Lai Ching-te takes the helm as president of the self-ruled island, tasked with navigating the widening rift with an increasingly assertive China.  "My defining moment came as China's military adventurism... threatened our shores with live fire exercises and missiles," he wrote in an op-ed for The Wall Street Journal last year.  During Lai's time as premier, he was more vocal than Tsai about independence   Brookings, 2024-5-14: Beware forecasts of doom for Taiwan under Lai /  William Lai is not a wild-eyed zealot with a one-track-minded focus on Taiwan independence.  He will want to win reelection. To do so, he almost certainly will need to tack to the center of Taiwan's political spectrum ...  Lai's principal task will be to improve living conditions and life prospects for Taiwan's rising generation of voters... drive social and economic reforms through Taiwan's divided legislature...  He will need to govern with discretion and finesse, rather than bold strokes, to keep Taiwan safe in the face of China's growing threat.   Foreign Policy, 2024-5-12: William Lai vowed not to alter the status quoWhile campaigning, Lai defined success for Taiwan as its leaders being  able to visit  the White House. This was a gauntlet thrown down—Taiwanese officials are blocked from visiting Washington. The Biden administration immediately demanded an  explanation. This was not how the relationship worked.  Lai was willing to push his luck. Economist, 2024-5-16: Taiwan's new president Lai Ching-te faces an upsurge in Chinese coercion; but China's bullying of Japan, Taiwan and the Philippines risks an explosion.    Voice of America, 2024-5-16: Taiwan's new president Lai Ching-te will face growing pressure from China at a time when the world is increasingly divided.     full text

 

William Lai's inauguration speech

L.A. Times, 2024-5-20
yahoo.com/news/taiwans-president-calls-peace-amid-145319105.html
Taiwan's new president calls for peace amid tenuous relations with China.  while Lai's remarks may reassure some foreign governments that he will not pursue formal independence for Taiwan, it did little to placate leaders in China.  Lai's inauguration speech largely telegraphed his plan to continue the same policies as Tsai ; He's trying to project an image of pragmatism and predictability
BBC, 2024-5-21
yahoo.com/news/stop-threatening-taiwan-president-william-060149657.html
China warned that the island's new leader "must seriously" consider the question of whether he wants peaceful development or confrontation.  Chinese state media even suggested he should be prosecuted for secession.  The 64-year-old also stuck closely to the formula used by his predecessor president Tsai; how Lai deals with Beijing will be the biggest question that will determine his presidency, especially as both sides have had no formal communication since 2016.
Reuters, 2024-5-21
yahoo.com/news/chinas-foreign-minister-calls-taiwans-102611047.html
Lai, like his predecessor Tsai Ing-wen, says only Taiwan's people can decide their future, rejecting Beijing's sovereignty claims.  Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi called Lai  "disgraceful" -  "The ugly acts of Lai Ching-te and others who betray the nation and their ancestors is disgraceful".
CNN, 2024-5-20  the DPP refused to endorse the so-called “1992 consensus” that both Taiwan and the mainland belong to “one China,” but with different interpretations of what that means. Beijing deems the tacit agreement a precondition for dialogue.
Politico, AP, 2024-5-20
yahoo.com/news/lai-ching-te-inaugurated-taiwan-024228911.html
 In 2017, he described himself as a “pragmatic worker for Taiwan's independence,” drawing Beijing's rebuke.  He has since softened his stance and now supports maintaining the status quo across the Taiwan Strait and the possibility of talks with Beijing.

 

  Reuters, 2024-5-16: Taiwan's incoming president Lai Ching-te faces angry China, fractured parliament; China said the "Taiwan region's new leader" had to make a clear choice between peaceful development or confrontation. "They are trying to pressure the new Lai government, wanting him to make concessions under military pressure"  Reuters, 2024-5-15: China's military has sailed and flown closer to Taiwan in recent weeks than it has before, and staged mock attacks on foreign vessels ahead of the inauguration of the island's next president Lai Ching-te; Beijing ramps up military and political pressure to assert its sovereignty over democratically governed Taiwan - a claim Taipei strongly rejects.  Bloomberg, Yahoo, 2024-5-15: China said it would sanction five Taiwanese political commentators and roll out a law to punish “separatists,” moves aimed at piling pressure on incoming president Lai Ching-te just days before he takes office.  War On The Rocks, 2024-5-15: Volodymyr Zelensky, a potent symbol of Ukrainian resistance, said : ”I need ammunition, not a ride”.  As with Zelensky, Taiwan's leaders will need the fortitude to stare down a potential onslaught on their nation   The Hill, 2024-5-15: US will send an unofficial delegation as Taiwan’s president is sworn in. It'll test ties with China  Asian News International, 2024-5-17: China's cyberattacks on Taiwan surge ahead of presidential inauguration Council on Foreign Relations , 2024-5-13: the Economist labels Taiwan “the most dangerous place on earth.” As international attention returns to Taiwan for its presidential inauguration, with keen interest in what president-elect William Lai will say on cross-strait relations.    full text

 

Reuters, 2024-5-6:  Hsiao and Lai have pledged to continue President Tsai Ing-wen's defence self-sufficiency and modernisation programme . Taiwan must invest in building its own 'strengths', vice president-elect Hsiao  says.   SCMP, 2024-5-9: William Lai cites Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ( 'Taiwan's security is a global issue' ) and his predecessor Shinzo Abe ('Taiwan's crisis is Japan's crisis') in highlighting need for Indo-Pacific peace and stability.   Beijing has lashed out at Taiwanese president-elect William Lai Ching-te for "ingratiating" himself with Japan, and banking on foreign forces to promote his ambitions of independence.      Reuters, 2024-4-27: William Lai Ching-te  says only Taiwan's people can decide their future  Economist (UK), 2024-4-18: China is talking to Taiwan’s next leader, just not directly - Ma Ying-jeou , The island's former president,  wrote that Mr Xi had “extended an olive branch to us”. Mr Ma hoped that Lai Ching-te, Taiwan's next president, would “put the people first and respond pragmatically”.

 

Wall Street Journal, 2024-4-15: the White House had worried that Lai would be more likely than Tsai to provoke Beijing with envelope-pushing rhetoric and draw the U.S. into a dangerous confrontation; Appointing a national-security team that is almost identical to that of his predecessor will be welcomed in Washington and help reassure the White House that Lai isn't likely to sharply alter Taiwan's posture toward Beijing NHK (Japan), 2024-4-25: Taiwan's President-elect Lai Ching-te has announced key members of his new security team; The appointments suggest that Lai will maintain the policy of the outgoing administration regarding diplomacy toward the US and China New York Times, 2024-4-10:  In recent months, China has signaled how it could squeeze Mr. Lai's administration — militarily, economically and diplomatically. It has brushed off Mr. Lai's offers to talk as insincere. On the other hand, Beijing has shown that it will court friendlier Taiwanese politicians,who accept the framework that both sides accept that they are part of one China, even if they differ on what that means.  China's “immediate focus is to push the incoming Lai Ching-te administration to adopt a more accommodating political stance on cross-strait relations” Chicago Tribune, 2024-4-2: Lai Ching-te has vowed to safeguard its de-facto independence from China and further align it with other democracies. Taiwan remains the “first red line not to be crossed,” Xi told Biden, and emphasized that Beijing will not tolerate ...“exterior indulgence and support” which alluded to Washington's support for the island.

 

New York Times, 2024-3-31: Taiwanese officials expect China to intensify its military intimidation once the island's next president, Lai Ching-te, takes office on May 20. His Democratic Progressive Party rejects Beijing’s claim that Taiwan is part of China, and Chinese officials particularly dislike Mr. Lai, often citing his 2017 description of himself as a “pragmatic worker for Taiwan's independence.” New York Times, 2024-3-24:  Beijing has been stepping up such “gray zone” tactics to warn Lai Ching-te — a politician deeply disliked by Chinese leaders.   With Lai Ching-te's inauguration on May 20, mainland China is definitely going to steadily, consistently raise the pressure”Beijing asserts that Taiwan must accept unification, preferably peacefully, but under armed force if Chinese leaders decide that is necessary.  Mr. Lai's DPP rejects China's claim to Taiwan, and argues that the island-democracy will chart its own course — self-ruling in practice, even if most governments do not recognize Taiwan as a separate state.    full text

 

  Reuters, 2024-4-25: Lai has repeatedly offered to talk with China has but been rebuffed.  Beijing has repeatedly said any talks can only take place if Taiwan's government accepts that both sides of the Taiwan Strait are part of "one China", which is supported by the KMT but rejected by Lai   AFP (French), 2024-4-23: Taiwan's Lai Ching-te says US military aid package will 'deter authoritarianism'.  Beijing, which regards Lai as a "dangerous separatist", said before the January elections that he would cause "war and decline" for Taiwan. China has ramped up military and political pressures against Taiwan in recent years, sending in warplanes and naval vessels near-daily around the island.  

 

  SCMP, 2024-4-19:  Taiwan Strait may face ‘political tsunami’ in 2025Election of William Lai has sparked cross-strait 'uncertainty' that may worsen if Trump returns to power, article in Taiwan affairs journal saysLai might adopt "low profile" and "moderate" cross-strait policies after taking office next month, and was unlikely to declare "de jure Taiwan independence" any time soon, the article said.   But, in the long term, Lai might bring "high" risks such as decoupling with the mainland economy, and even "very high" risks of "causing major accidental incidents" in the strait...    Newsweek, 2024-3-16: many harbor concerns about the president-elect's history of pro-independence rhetoric; But any fear that Lai Ching-Te might cause a war by declaring formal independence is overblown. He lacks both the will and the power to do so.  Only 4.5 percent of Taiwan's public supports an imminent declaration of independence; Most importantly, in Taiwan's political system, the president lacks the authority to declare independence.     full text

 

 

comment Taiwan's president, William Lai Ching-te

 

 ♣ The Guardian (2023-5-24):  The 63-year-old former public health expert has been in politics since 1996, including as mayor of Tainan.   Lai has enjoyed political popularityHe's been described as more “green” (pro-independence) than Tsai, which had prompted some concern about whether a Lai presidency could worsen cross-strait tensions.  For the DPP’s independentist wing, Lai has always been their favourite son. For DPP’s moderate wing, Lai’s recent movement towards the centre is merely following President Tsai’s footsteps.”theguardian.com/world/2023/may/24/taiwans-choice-who-will-replace-tsai-ing-wen-as-president-amid-china-tensions    in Taipei and Chi Hui Lin

 

 ♣ Economist (2023-5-31): The next president Lai Ching-te will take office with the island at the centre of a bubbling superpower showdown.   In 2017 he called himself a “Taiwanese independence worker”, antagonising China and providing an uncomfortable reminder to America of Taiwan's first DPP president, Chen Shui-bian (2000-08), whose talk of independence unsettled American negotiations with China.  Mr Lai knows he needs to tone down his language. He has said his priority is not taidu, Taiwan independence, but taizhu, Taiwan democracy, and has moderated the DPP's  slogan from “resist China and protect Taiwan” to “peacefully protect Taiwan”. But all that is unlikely to wash with the CCP...

 

 ♣ Washington Post (2024-11-24): Beijing considers Lai a dangerous “troublemaker” who will move Taiwan toward a formal separation from China, and has twice sanctioned his running mate, Hsiao Bi-khim, who was Taiwan's de facto ambassador to the United States until this week.     Hsiao on Thursday called for international support to push Beijing toward resuming dialogue with Taiwan if she and Lai win. “War is not an option,”

 

 ♣ BBC (2023-11-24):  Mr William Lai is not much of a campaigner.

 

 ♣ VOA (2023-11-24): For Beijing, Lai is a threat. During a daily press conference on Tuesday, Beijing’s Taiwan Affairs Office spokesperson said Lai attempted to hide that he is a “pursuer of Taiwan independence” and an “instigator of war.” Lai has vowed to maintain the status quo across the Taiwan Strait while highlighting the importance of Taiwan maintaining close relations with like-minded democracies such as the United States and Japan.

 

 ♣ Bloomberg (2023-11-24) :  There is zero chance that the unhappy trajectory in cross-strait relations gets reversed if Lai wins,” he added. “It will certainly lead to a continuation and probable escalation of pressures and threats.”

 

 ♣ AOL,  Fortune (2023-11-23):   To Bloomberg, Lai said that Taiwan does not need formal sovereignty because, for all intents and purposes, the island already acts like an independent country.

 

 ♣ China Daily (2023-11-23):   Lai Ching-te & Hsiao Bi-khim  triggered concerns that the "dual-separatist combination" that Lai and Hsiao forms will only push Taiwan into the abyss. That is why the two have been described as the "most dangerous combination".   Hsiao  has lobbied the island authorities to lift the ban on imports of US pork that contains the leanness-enhancing additive ractopamine, and encouraged Taiwan to purchase large amounts of US weapons. Always docile and obedient to the US, she acts more like a "US representative to Taiwan".

 

 ♣ Axios   (2023-11-22):    Beijing would be likely to "use heightened military exercises, diplomatic pressure, and economic sanctions as a way to exert pressure on a potential Lai presidency to set the terms of future cross-Strait interaction.

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

pic.:  "comment Lai Ching-te"(Chinese version "評論賴清德") ranks No.1 onUS Yahoo , 2024-4-10, 2024-3-22, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-25, 2023-12-18, 2023-11-23, 2023-10-25, 2023-10-13, 2023-10-3, 2023-9-28, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-21,  2023-8-8, 2023-7-30

 

 

 

 

Int'l news

 

  Lowy Institute, 2024-4-24: 儘管北京一再呼籲美國停止軍售,但沒有跡象顯示如此,特別是在主張與美國建立更密切關係的賴清德執政期間。除非賴清德放棄追求台獨,否則灰色地帶戰略的軌跡預計將繼續升級  ◆ Taipei Times, 2024-4-12: 賴清德接見the Project 2049 Institute代表團時表示,台灣將努力成為一股“向善的力量”(force for good) SCMP , 2024-4-4: 台灣7.4地震造成的傷亡相對較小,但強度足以引起國際關注 ,是賴清德領導能力的考驗。然而, 與中國大陸的關係預計仍將是他的主要挑戰,北京預計將加大軍事和外交壓力 Reuters , 2024-4-1:  由於賴賴清德拒絕接受北京關於台灣是「一個中國」一部分的立場,中国將對民進黨候選人的支持描述為對戰爭的投票。賴一直堅稱並不尋求改變現狀,即台灣享有事實上的獨立,但官方外交承認非常有限   ◆ The Hill,  2024-3-19:  賴清德贏得了前所未有的第三個四年任期總統,北京可能已經得出結論,與台灣「和平」統一的前景已經耗盡,現在有必要使用武力實現其目標 Newsweek,  2024-3-16: 擔心賴清德宣布獨立而引發戰爭的擔憂都是多餘的。他缺乏這樣做的意願和能力。競選過程中,他一再表示放棄正式獨立,並承諾維持現狀。在台灣的政治體制中,總統也缺乏宣布獨立的權力。民調顯示,只有 4.5% 的台灣民眾支持立即宣布獨立 Bloomberg,  2024-3-7:   賴清德在台灣總統選舉中獲勝,北京也遭受了挫折,共產黨領導層譴責賴清德是尋求正式獨立的「麻煩製造者」。 East Asia Forum,  2024-3-9: 住在印度達蘭薩拉的達賴喇嘛寫信給賴清德表示祝賀。他也祝福賴清德成功地「實現台灣人民的希望和願望」。蔡英文回信感謝達賴喇嘛。 Daily Express,  2024-3-8: 隨著台灣下一任賴清德總統的就職日期臨近,中對台灣的敵意變得更加敵視,採取更強硬的措辭。中賴清德為台獨的煽動者 Deutsche Welle,  2024-3-6: 北京稱賴清德為“危險的分裂分子 United states Institute of Peace,  2024-3-5: 北京正在加大對台灣新當選總統賴清德的壓力。然而,北京並沒有依靠常規軍事或經濟壓力,而是採用了多方面的脅迫手段來表達對選舉結果的不滿; 中国改變與台灣現狀的努力可能會導致無意的衝突 賴清德可能會在五月上任後偏離現任台灣總統蔡英文的外交和兩岸政策,從而暗示進一步轉向獨立。 Reuters,  2024-3-5 賴清德贏得台灣總統選舉後,中國共產黨第四號領導人王滬寧在高級別台灣政策會議上表示,中將「堅決打擊」台灣獨立的努力。往年年會上的發言只是宣誓「堅決反對」台獨 The Hill,  2024-3-5 賴清德當選為下一屆總統,民進黨的綱領堅稱台灣已經獨立於中國。 New York Times,  2024-2-22: 「我們面臨著快速變化的全球地緣政治格局,以及來自中国的巨大壓力以及外交、軍事和經濟脅迫,」賴清德對Mike Gallagher等議員們說台灣將繼續加強軍事力量,“但我們也希望美國和志同道合的國家也能繼續支持台灣"。中国 不是蔡英文的朋友,但它似乎對賴更加敵對,中国 已經表示與新總統談判的空間很小  ◆  Carnegie Endowment for International Peace,  2024-2-9: 台灣政治悄悄發生的重要轉變將對兩岸關係產生重大影響; 懸浮( hung )議會將增加民進黨執政的難度,也將嚴重考驗新總統的政治技巧  Council on Foreign Relations, 2024-2-8: CFR 的 Sacks:在賴的總統任期內,蔡英文的政策可能會延續,包括進一步增加國防預算和發展國內國防工業 賴清德在2024 年勝利演講中呼籲與中國重新開啟對話以“取代對抗”,並承諾維持“兩岸現狀” The Dartmouth,  2024-2-9: 迄今中華人民共和國對賴清德勝選的反應相對克制, 隨著暴力統一的可能性即將出現,以及台灣在貿易和民主化方面日益增強的全球影響力,北約成員國必須共同努力保護台灣的自治。我們絕不能將中視為僅靠軟實力(即制裁)就能輕易施壓的次要大國 SCMP, 2024-1-28: 川普(的不可預測性和「美國優先」)可能是賴清德面臨的最嚴峻挑戰 Semafor, 2024-1-26: Lev Nachman : 北京可能會選擇在賴清德 5 月 20 日就職典禮臨近時採取下一步行動 Semafor, 2024-1-24: 根據Foreign Policy, 執政黨缺乏主張不對稱戰爭和「豪豬戰略」的軍事指揮官, 國安官員歷來呼籲以重型坦克、潛艇和戰機加強防禦,「華盛頓認為台灣不需要這些」; 準總統賴清德還必須讓關心生計而 非備戰的年輕人相信,入侵威脅真實存在,而他們將是第一道防線  National Interest, 2024-1-24: 川普執政,華盛頓犧牲台灣與中達成有利於美國經濟的協議的可能性將大大增加。台灣的不幸命運是,它永遠容易遭到美國的背叛。這種危險可能正在增加。 United States Institute of Peace,  2024-1-24: 2024台灣大選結果顯示,大多數選民支持民進黨以外的政黨,這表明民眾對探索兩岸關係的不同方式持廣泛開放態度。

 

Local News 台灣新聞

 

  聯合報,  2024-5-15: 賴清德夜宴綠委及行政團隊,主軸就是團結作戰,要在520後反守為攻   聯合報,  2024-5-8: 賴清德勉勵閣員善用權力服務人民,「牧羊人應有羊群的味道」  聯合報,  2024-4-28: 習近平在賴清德上任前夕,對台硬的一手沒放鬆,軟的一手仍傳送了交流與和平的訊息... 兩會協商機制能否恢復,關鍵在於承認九二共識,承認兩岸同屬一個國家、一個民族。...賴清德尤其不應漠視或誤讀習近平藉著「馬習二會」釋放的訊息

  聯合報,  2024-4-24: 蔡總統(代賴清德)宣布下任國安會秘書長與外長名單,外界質疑她將繼續指點江山...難怪引起朝野對未來國安決策的疑慮。更讓民眾疑惑的是,這個一再拉高台海危機的團隊   聯合報,  2024-4-22:  賴清德:打造台灣成適合人們作夢、幹活、戀愛、結婚、悠然過活的地方    聯合報,  2024-4-19:  賴清德用人模式更加清晰,簡單來說,得先「信賴」,才有官做。至今除了邱泰源,以及蔡總統代為宣布的新外長林佳龍,已幾乎見不到黨內其他派系身影  聯合報,  2024-4-17:  賴清德退新潮流,意在捲起權力漩渦。他不敢學扁蔡初登大位的雍容開闊,就怕今天鬥不狠,明天坐不穩   聯合報,  2024-4-16: 賴清德的傳統老年支持者逐年凋零,首投族影響力將逐漸放大   中國時報,  2024-4-12:  賴清德上任後,將會做3件事,「堅決守護台灣主權」、「進行國家重建、社會改造,洗滌每一個人的人心」,以及「平反政治受難者」 要讓受苦、受迫害的人們得到平反,得到國家的道歉並恢復名譽     中國時報,  2024-4-11: 馬習二會送春暖 , 花開(讓兩岸擺脫兵凶戰危)還看賴清德   聯合報,  2024-4-9: 「賴神」給人的印象,不如蔡的陰柔權謀,反而更常選擇堅持、剛硬,對本身充滿自信,甚至一定自戀   聯合報,  2024-4-10: 賴清德的內閣人事,親信都安排在身邊擔任重臣,一方面顯示了賴清德需要安全感,另一方面也顯暴露其開闊不足   中國時報,  2024-4-7:  賴清德要限縮言論自由,甚至將反對政府的言論塑造成認知作戰。尤其,任何訊息、言論只要對政府不利,對敵對者有利,就會被視為是認知作戰的「在地協力者」,遭到抹紅、抹黑   聯合報,  2024-3-22: 海基會董事長李大維說,賴清德「不是一張白紙」,會「務實中道」處理國安、兩岸及外交  聯合報,  2024-3-9: 賴清德目前以兩岸互不隸屬包裝台獨,目前中共對賴清德政府「沒有期待,但怕受傷害」