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Taiwan

Taiwan diplomatic situation

台灣 只剩15 個正式邦交國

click   ￭ 台灣―美國  ￭ 台灣―亞洲太平洋  ￭ 台灣―拉丁美洲  ￭ 台灣―歐洲  ￭ 台灣外交策略戰術  ￭ 台灣―中國大陸  ￭ 更多

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不像川普，拜登不那麼把台灣當成刺激中国的工具;  不像昔日美國率領國際聯盟逼退宣布併吞科威特的伊拉克，也不像冷戰時美國率領的北約，為保護西柏林不惜與蘇聯一戰，今天美國穿梭的國際聯盟尚難有共識 ― 它們不願意為了台灣而得罪最大的貿易夥伴中国...
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● 台灣―美國 外交/國際關係

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◆ ABC news,  2021-10-17: 未來數月乃至數年中美關係如何繼續發展將最終決定台灣的未來 

How U.S.-China relations continue to play out in the coming months and years will ultimately determine Taiwan’s future

 abcnews.go.com/International/escalating-tensions-china-taiwan/story?id=80605351
◆ NBC news,  2021-10-20:  美國對台灣態度轉變的部分原因是對中國的態度降溫 Shifting American attitudes toward Taiwan are motivated partly by cooling attitudes toward China 

nbcnews.com/news/world/china-wants-world-know-it-s-not-going-get-pushed-n1281947
◆ Global Times, 2021-12-28:  預計華盛頓將繼續向台灣島的“盟友”施加壓力，希望保持與台灣島的現有關係。If the US can help Taiwan maintain a certain number of "allies," it will have leverage in hindering China's peaceful reunification    globaltimes.cn/page/202112/1243596.shtml

◆ Brookings,  2021-7-12:  台灣選民在進行豬肉公投之前應該先知道美台貿易 關係的漸進式進展可能關閉，其他主要經濟體很可能會效仿。if Taiwan voters reverse Tsai’s pledge to open Taiwan’s market to the same pork products that American citizens eat... would seal shut the door to anything more than incremental progress on U.S.-Taiwan trade relations...other major economies would follow suit.   brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2021/07/12/taiwan-voters-should-look-before-they-leap-on-pork-referendum/
National Review, 2021-7-9: 美國刪除Tweet是給台灣外交上的失望和對中國的讓步  /  拜登政府在推特上發布了一條關於向世界捐贈 COVID 疫苗的訊息，其中包括一張台灣國旗的圖片之後，美國刪除了該圖文，並為其“誠實的錯誤”道歉。Deleted Taiwan Tweet Is a Diplomatic Disappointment and a Concession to China / After tweeting a message about America’s COVID vaccine donations to the world that included an image of the Taiwanese flag, the Biden administration has deleted the post and apologized for its “honest mistake.”  nationalreview.com/corner/deleted-taiwan-tweet-is-a-diplomatic-disappointment-and-a-concession-to-china/

◆ Newsweek, 2021-7-6: 中國警告戰爭後,拜登政府Campbell 強調支持台灣與不越界之間保持“微妙”和“危險”的平衡newsweek.com/biden-official-sees-dangerous-delicate-balance-taiwan-after-china-warns-war-1607254   ◆ CNN, 2021-5-6: 美國等G7的代表強調了“台灣海峽和平與穩定的重要性”，並鼓勵“和平解決兩岸問題。” In a joint statement released Wednesday, representatives from the G7, which includes Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States, underscored "the importance of peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait," and encouraged the "peaceful resolution of cross-Strait issues."  edition.cnn.com/2021/05/05/china/g7-cornwall-uk-us-china-taiwan-intl-hnk/index.html

◆ Foreign Affairs, 2021-6-3: 華盛頓需要一個龐大的國際聯盟，對中国的入侵做出一致的經濟、政軍回應。不幸的是，這仍然是遙遠的可能，因為許多國家不願干冒經濟前景風險，遑論參戰。對台灣不幸的是，美國現在才意識到新的現實  foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2021-06-03/china-taiwan-war-temptation
◆ Taipei Times, 2021-8-30: 美國發tweets給獲贈疫苗的國家, 隨後刪除了台灣國旗, 使之像個國際賤民。這種外交上的輕視是美國對待台灣的一個縮影; 因台海形勢險惡且賭注很高 taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2021/08/30/2003763452

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美台交往新準則   Biden's new guidelines for U.S. government interaction with Taiwan
South China Morning Post  ,2021-4-18	拜登政府可能想加深與台北的關係，但沒有跡象顯示在出兵保衛台灣這一敏感問題上，戰略模糊有根本的轉變，美台交往新準則不允許任何台灣“正式”關係的形式或符號、不包括正副總統和高級政府官員的往來，川普視台灣為抗中先鋒，拜登可能視台灣為捍衛美國利益的'盾牌'  scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3129980/joe-biden-set-end-guessing-game-about-what-us-will-do-if
Seattle Times, 2021-4-9	美國發布美台互動新準則，表示拜登有意"放寬"規則以深化雙方之非正式關係，然而看來並未包括所有川普放寬的接觸限制，比方與美國官員會晤時允許台灣軍官穿著制服並展示台灣國旗 ( Pompeo had lifted virtually all restrictions on contacts with Taiwan, including allowing Taiwanese military officers to wear uniforms and display the Taiwanese flag at meetings with U.S. officials. seattletimes.com/nation-world/nation-politics/us-unveils-new-rules-for-government-contacts-with-taiwan/ )
Guardian, 2021-4-11	新指南是在國會授權審查之後進行的，將為有效實施“一個中國”政策提供清晰性……，華盛頓正式承認北京，而不是台北。
CNBC, 2021-4-9	The U.S. State Department on Friday issued new guidelines that will enable U.S. officials to meet more freely with officials from Taiwan. cnbc.com/2021/04/10/us-issues-guidelines-to-deepen-relations-with-taiwan.html
Global Times, 2021-4-10	美台互動新準則已經從川普準則退了一步，英國Financial Times報導美不准官員於台灣重要節日進入雙橡園; 新準則目的是測試中國大陸，美台關係存在明顯的“天花板” ，並不會因此發生質的變化 globaltimes.cn/page/202104/1220693.shtml
The Hill, 2021-4-9	美國發布美台互動新準則，鼓勵雙方接觸...但並未明確說明其中的內容 。蕭美琴表示歡迎這種鼓勵，期待利用新的機會共同合作...  thehill.com/policy/international/asia-pacific/547464-state-department-announces-new-guidance-on-talks-with

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◆ Axios, 4-9-2021: 當今大多數設計芯片的公司實際上並不製造，而是依靠台積電（TSMC）之類的公司 如果台灣的芯片生產受到永久性破壞，估計，將需要三年時間建設來替代台灣。這就是為什麼業內許多人呼籲美國更加清楚其對台灣的支持，同時鼓勵國內芯片生產。  axios.com/threats-to-taiwan-nightmare-tech-847c1f30-d878-4eb9-b749-b2f17487dd91.html   ◆ Reuters,  2021-4-14: 拜登加強美國國內芯片產業  reuters.com/article/us-semiconductor-shortage-packaging-focu-idUSKBN2C01AL

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◆ Channel News Asia, 2-22-2021:  美國台灣關係的升級，如果在執行上顧及對北京的相互尊重、決心、機敏間取得適當的平衡，可以成為維護台海和平的有效途徑 This elevating of US relations with Taiwan, if executed with the right balance of resolve, tact and mutual respect towards Beijing, can be an effective approach for maintaining peace in the Taiwan Strait.  channelnewsasia.com/news/commentary/taiwan-strait-us-china-biden-xi-jinping-arms-sales-diplomatic-14234674★

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◆ Financial Times, 2-9-2021: 拜登政府的態度發生細微變化，台灣國安團隊 心生警惕，比方稱"台灣民選代表"而非 "台灣總統"或"台灣政府"，與川普作法不同  recent statements that avoided calling Tsai president, as had become the norm under Donald Trump... State department referred to “Taiwan’s democratically elected representatives” instead of its president or government.    www.ft.com/content/f9c7ebcd-297a-4274-a07d-2c01515b77fd

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◆ Diplomat, 2-11-2021:  台灣駐美代表(大使)蕭美琴: 與美國的牢固關係問題不僅被視為外交關係，而且也是生存問題... “我們要做的第一件事是與新美國政府建立良好的關係，並解決許多相關問題。", ”首要任務是在一般國防和安全領域。第二個領域是我們的經濟關係，第三個領域是國際參與和其他政治夥伴關係"。    thediplomat.com/2021/02/what-to-expect-from-us-taiwan-relations-in-2021-and-beyond/

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◆ The Guardian, 2-11-2021:  台灣駐美代表與國務院高級官員會晤後數小時，拜登就撥電話給習近平(晤談2小時)   https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/feb/11/biden-raises-taiwan-tensions-and-human-rights-with-xi-jinping-in-first-phone-call  

　

◆ Global Times, 3-20-2021:  美方在 阿拉斯加峰會就台灣問題重申了其一個中國的政策  the US side reiterated its one-China policy in the Taiwan question.     globaltimes.cn/page/202103/1218914.shtml

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◆ Nikkei Asia (Japan), 2-6-2021: 目前跡象顯示，拜登團隊計畫加倍加碼川普的台灣政策，其負面後果是，中国幾乎確定會加劇對台美國的外交，經濟和軍事威脅， 美台關係的 加強也可能為民進黨壯膽，在2024年總統大選前大力推展主權 ， 只有時間才能證明拜登採行的是可持續的抑或明智的政策   Biden doubles-down on Trump's Taiwan policy, but will it last?    Only time will tell whether it is sustainable or wise policy.   asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Biden-doubles-down-on-Trump-s-Taiwan-policy-but-will-it-last  

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◆ Foreign Policy, 1-22-2021 : 美台外交關係將轉趨低調;  台灣正在尋求拜登的保證，但是拜登很可能拒絕川普利用台灣刺激中国的方式;  Taiwan seeks assurances from Biden admin., but Biden and his team are likely to resist using Taiwan as a cudgel against China the way Trump did.  Many experts expect Biden to hold off on the public saber-rattling and use of US policy toward Taiwan as a war to push back at China that typified the Trump approach.   Biden's objectives are likely to include "viewing Taiwan as a card to be valued, not a card to be played in competition with China". The relationship is likely to remain more low-key.

◆  Bloomberg, 1-25-2021: 美國要求中共停止施壓與兩岸對話的聲明顯示美國對台政策有其一貫延續性...拜登希望保持長期以來台灣地位的模糊性，並保證遵守美中協議，在談及台灣人時措辭謹慎 ― “台灣島上的人民”(people on Taiwan) 而不是“台灣的人民”(people of Taiwan)   bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-24/u-s-says-china-military-pressure-against-taiwan-threatens-peace
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◆ Reuters, 2-4-2021: 美國務院說美國“一個中國”政策沒有改變 U.S. State Department says U.S. "one-China" policy has not changed

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◆ Taipei Times, 2021-5-31: Ian Easton: 美國最糟糕的就是繼續其目前外交孤立台灣的政策, 國際社會的懦弱記錄可能會導致習近平誤判  taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2021/05/31/2003758321

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◆ Reuters, Yahoo, 2021-5-14: US condemns political use of vaccines after China-Taiwan tussle / 中、俄、美都試圖以“疫苗外交”加深擴大世界各地的聯繫與地緣政治影響力，一些與台灣無邦交的南美國家正在接受中国疫苗，因此友邦宏都拉斯也考慮在中国開設辦事處   news.yahoo.com/u-condemns-political-vaccines-china-173503094.html  ◆ Global Times, 2021-5-12:  宏都拉斯總統說 美國有大量即將過期的疫苗，但寧可囤積也不願向有需要的國家伸出援手...美國錯過了一個機會表明美台堅定的關係、反證對“盟友”們重視程度不高...globaltimes.cn/page/202105/1223311.shtml

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◆ Japan Times, 1-17-2021 : 川普 對台灣外交大迴旋 /  美國駐UN大使Craft 與環保署長的訪問突然取消， 對台灣是打擊，也是中共明顯的勝利。川普未完成兩項重要的行動，對台灣來說是不幸的。一是正式的總統訪問。二是重建正式的外交關係，  印太地區許多人都希望， 但一切將很快都被 扭轉    japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2021/01/17/commentary/world-commentary/trump-taiwan-us-china/

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◆ National Review, 2-10-2021: 國務院的兩黨 台灣外交 /  拜登政府努力廢除舊的限制性的互動交往指南，根據美國的長期政策，與台北進行較為尊重的外交來往方式鋪平了道路  https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/the-state-departments-bipartisan-taiwan-diplomacy/ 

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◆ Wall Street Journal, 1-21-2021 : 拜登在台灣就職典禮上發出重要的外​​交信號 台灣駐美特使克服了長達四十年的先例，應邀參加拜登就職典禮時，平息了人們對台灣的擔心，即美國的支持會在後川普時代逐漸削弱。★

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中國大陸敦促美國   就"一個中國"原則   發出明確訊號

拜登的'表態'

￭ Washington Examiner, 1-24-2021 : The United States does not recognize Taiwan as an sovereign country, but U.S. strategists regard the island as a crucial link in a chain of islands that restrains the Chinese Communist military’s ability to operate away from the Chinese coast and threaten U.S. forces and other allies. 美國不承認台灣為主權國家，但戰略上視台灣為島鏈之重要樞紐 ￭ Bloomberg, 1-24-2021: The State Department statement indicated a desire by the Biden administration to preserve the longstanding ambiguity about Taiwan’s status. The U.S. pledged to stand by existing agreements with China and spoke of the interests of the “people on Taiwan,” rather than the people “of Taiwan.” 保持台灣地位的模糊性，對於"台灣人"措辭 ―“台灣島上的人”(people on Taiwan)而不是“台灣的人民”(people of Taiwan) ￭ Washington Post, Associated Press, DW, 1-24-2021: “We urge Beijing to ... engage in meaningful dialogue with Taiwan’s democratically elected representatives," spokesperson Ned Price said in the statement.  美國敦促北京應與台灣『民選代表』進行有意義的對話。(PS: 以『民選代表』稱呼『台灣總統』等高層 !?   ) ￭  Reuters, 2-4-2021: 美國務院說美國“一個中國”政策沒有改變 U.S. State Department says U.S. "one-China" policy has not changed ￭  Financial Times, 2-9-2021: 拜登政府的態度發生細微變化，台灣國安團隊 心生警惕，比方稱"台灣民選代表"而非 "台灣總統"或"台灣政府"，與川普作法不同 State department referred to “Taiwan’s democratically elected representatives” instead of its president or government.

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◆ CNN, 8-14-2020: 台灣需要美國的是牢固的婚姻，而不是炙烈的愛情 ...  但中美敵對關係在大選後不會持續多久，台灣需要考慮…目前的關係恆久遠嗎？  What Taiwan needs form the US is a strong stable marriage not a hot passionate romance ...  a long-term antagonistic relationship between the US and China wasn't sustainable after November... Taiwan needs to think about it   
◆ Foreign Policy, 8-14-2020: 美中婚姻狀況不佳，但目前未來許多年都不會選擇離婚  (The United States and China ... They are in a bad marriage, with no current option for divorce. That will remain the case for many years to come (foreignpolicy.com/2020/08/14/cold-war-china-misuse-of-history-united-states-soviet-union/))

◆ Financial Times (UK), 12-14-2020: 滿心焦慮的台灣 對美國發動"魅力攻勢"，希冀贏得拜登的支持， 台北擔心即將上任的美國政府將不會 亙續川普對台的堅定支持  Anxious Taiwan launches US charm offensive to win Biden’s backing. Taipei worries incoming American administration will not maintain Trump’s staunch support    (https://www.ft.com/content/3174603a-69ce-4328-93af-69569bb86e0c  )

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◆ Reuters, 1-20-2021: 美國國務卿 Blinken : 美國將恪守​​承諾，確保台灣擁有自我防衛的能力  reuters.com/article/us-usa-biden-state-china/u-s-secretary-of-state-nominee-blinken-sees-strong-foundation-for-bipartisan-china-policy-idUSKBN29O2GB?feedType=mktg&feedName=politicsNews&WT.mc_id=Partner-Google

◆ Reuters, 1-21-2021, US News & World Report, 1-20-2021 : U.S. commitment to Taiwan was “rock-solid”, after the island’s de facto ambassador in Washington, Hsiao Bi-khim, attended Biden’s swearing in. reuters.com/article/us-usa-biden-taiwan/taiwan-biden-ties-off-to-strong-start-with-invite-for-top-diplomat-idUSKBN29Q01N?il=0Emily Horne: 美國對台灣的承諾“堅如磐石”，台灣特使參加了拜登的宣誓就任儀式

◆ Int. Policy Digest, 1-20-2021:  美國國務卿 Blinken 重申在不觸及臺獨的情況下支持擴大台灣的國際空間，他也將繼續前任國務卿的決定，取消美台外交互動的限制... 拜登政府感性的傳遞強烈信息支持台北的民主， 時間將證明華盛頓將如何維持微妙的平衡，一邊增進美台雙邊夥伴關係，另一方面也開啟所有與北京合作的機會之窗   intpolicydigest.org/2021/01/20/where-u-s-taiwan-relations-might-find-itself-under-biden/

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◆ Washington Post, 1-14-2021 : 美台外交關係升溫，很大程度上是國會支持，以及川普政府意圖促使台灣成為中共的替代品 ( American relations with Taiwan have warmed under President Donald Trump, largely due to strong bipartisan support in Congress, but also because the administration has been willing to defy Beijing’s threats and promote Taiwan as an alternative to Chinese Communist Party authoritarianism.) washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-ambassador-to-un-and-taiwans-president-meet-virtually/2021/01/14/d64548b0-5639-11eb-acc5-92d2819a1ccb_story.html

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◆ Economist, 1-15-2021 : 十年前AIT已升起美國國旗，但直到現在台灣還不敢在華盛頓使館外面懸掛國旗，川普放寬美台互動準則使拜登與台灣一起落入陷阱，拜登會因不夠勇敢支持台灣而受到挫敗或對中国採取錯誤步調，也會讓台灣承受更多共軍壓力或被挖走盟邦  economist.com/asia/2021/01/14/have-departing-american-officials-made-taiwan-into-a-booby-trap
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◆ Newsweek, 1-20-2021:  習最高政治顧問要求在2021年就“統一”取得更多進展...  堅持“一中原則”和“ 92共識”，促進“和平與全面發展”，“ 92共識”係指含糊有爭議的協議，即雙方可各自詮釋"一個中國"為何; 自2016年台灣蔡政府已拒絕“一中原則”與一國兩制 ... 截至11月的一年中，台灣與中國大陸的雙邊貿易額為2,350億美元，大陸出口僅540億美元 ， 顯示台灣經濟已經是中國“密不可分” 的一部分   newsweek.com/chinese-communist-party-apparatchik-demands-progress-taiwan-unification-1562999★
◆ NY Post, 1-15-2021: 川普的臨去秋波回馬槍應該 要官方承認台灣，美國原先的一中政策是想藉綏靖和經濟自由化，逐漸改變中國的專制，最終“融入”自由世界秩序”，歷史證明美國盤算錯了
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"評論台灣外交" 排名Bing第一 pic. :  本網站'評論台灣外交'排名Microsoft Bing第一, 2021-10-22, 2021-9-24, 2021-8-22, 2021-6-14, 2021-6-1, 2021-5-6, 2021-4-24, 2021-4-7, 3-23-2021, 3-1-2021, 2-25-2021; No.2 at 2021-12-29 　 　 ★ ppic. : 本網站 '評論台灣外交'排名Yahoo search engine第一, 2021-12-29, 2021-10-22, 2021-9-24, 2021-8-22, 2021-6-1, 2021-4-7, 3-23-2021, 3-12-2021, 3-1-2021,  2-25-2021, 2-21-2021, 2-16-2021, 2-5-2021, 1-28-2021g 　 　 pic.: No.1 "Taiwan diplomacy"('台灣外交') on Microsoft Bing, 2021-12-29, 2021-10-22, 2021-9-24, 2021-8-18, 2021-7-8, 2021-6-14, 2021-6-1, 2021-4-24, 2021-4-7, 3-23-2021, 3-12-2021, 3-3-2021, 2-21-2021, 1-27-2021, 1-23-2021

pic. left: No.1 "Taiwan diplomacy" ('台灣外交'英文版) 排名 Yahoo第一, 2021-12-29, 2021-10-22, 2021-9-24, 2021-8-18, 2021-7-8, 2021-6-1, 2021-4-24, 2021-4-7, 3-23-2021, 3-3-2021, 2-25-2021, 1-23-2021

pic. : '台灣外交' (英文版) 排名 Ecosia (Germany Berlin) 第1, 2021-12-29, 2021-10-22, 2021-9-24, 2021-8-18, 2021-7-8, 2021-6-1, 2021-4-24, 2021-4-7, 3-23-2021, 3-3-2021, 2-21-2021, 1-23-2021 　   pic. : '台灣外交' (英文版) 排名US Yahoo search engine 第1 , 2021-7-8, No.2 at 2021-6-1, 1-31-2021  No.3 at 2021-12-29, 2021-10-22 　              pic. right: '台灣外交' (英文版) 排名 Dogpile 第1, 2021-10-22, 2021-9-24, 2021-8-18, 2021-6-1, 2021-4-24, 2021-4-7, 3-23-2021, 3-3-2021, 2-21-2021, 1-23-2021 pic. left: '台灣外交' (英文版) 排名 Swisscows (Switzerland)第1, 2021-8-18, 2021-6-1, 2021-4-24, 2021-4-7, 3-23-2021, 3-3-2021, 2-21-2021, 1-23-2021

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Trump 國務院取消美台官員互動指導方針與限制  可能激怒中國  State Dept. lifts US-Taiwan restrictions in move likely to anger China
美國New York Times, 1-9-2021	￭ 美國務卿解除與台灣官員會晤互動的限制 ，傳遞與台北關係正在升溫，以及對北京更加嚴厲的訊號，但是拜登政府很容易就能扭轉這一舉動 State Dept. Moves to Ease Restrictions on Meeting With Taiwan Officials is meant to signal a warming of relations with Taipei and a tougher line with Beijing, but the Biden administration could easily reverse the move. ￭ “此舉沒有什麼實際效果  看起來像是一個宣傳特效把戲"  the move was likely to have little practical effect. “It looks like a publicity stunt” ￭  這樣一個相對重要之舉意在為拜登設下陷阱，迫使他要麼付出國內政治代價，要麼攪糟北京的關係 The moves, some outside experts said, are meant to lay a trap for Mr. Biden, forcing him either to pay a domestic political cost if he unwinds them or to sour relations with Beijing if he does not. ￭  拜登先生可能仍舊不鼓勵與台灣官員的高層接觸 Mr. Biden could discourage high-level contact with Taiwan officials. nytimes.com/2021/01/09/us/politics/state-dept-taiwan-united-states-china.html
日本 Japan Times, 1-10-2021	￭ 川普政府對台政策試圖從根本上改變現狀 The Trump administration’s policy toward Taiwan is ending much as it started — by attempting to fundamentally alter the status quo. ￭ 川普政府將取消所有幾十年來為安撫北京的共產黨政權美國政府單方面“複雜的內部限制” ，日本也視這個島國為抗衡日益強大中國軍力的堡壘Trump admin is lifting all of complex internal self-imposed restrictions which was in an attempt to appease the Communist regime in Beijing... 50 years of engagement with Beijing has not worked and that a different and tougher approach is needed...  Japan, too, views the island nation as a bulwark against growing Chinese military assertiveness. ￭ 共和黨政府試圖在離任前撒下混亂的嘗試 ， 這樣的籠統聲明，廢除了多年來所有指南，卻沒有明確取代的框架，只會加劇華府混亂  This could be seen as an attempt by the Republican administration to sow chaos before it’s departure.  “A blanket statement such as this, abrogating all of the guidance in place for years, without articulating what framework will replace it simply amplifies perceived chaos in DC” ￭ 這只是方便了美台的外交來往 This just eases doing diplomacy with Taiwan.   japantimes.co.jp/news/2021/01/10/asia-pacific/politics-diplomacy-asia-pacific/taiwan-us-china-pompeo-trump-biden/
CGTN, CCTV, GT(中国) The Week via Yahoo, 1-11-2021	￭ Chinese state media (CGTN, CCTV) blast Trump admin. for " cowardly act of sabotage" a "cowardly act of sabotage" that "crossed a dangerous red line." “越過危險的紅線”的“膽怯的破壞行為” ￭ Global Times (China), warned — in a since-delated tweet — that Taiwan could face repercussions for Pompeo's actions, The Associated Press reports. "The option ofusing military means to solve [the] Taiwan question will also be put on the table" 台灣可能會因龐培的舉動而受到打擊，美聯社報導。 “使用軍事手段解決台灣問題的選擇也將擺在桌面上” ￭ The move may not be universally applauded stateside, either, per Reuters. Bonnie Glaser, an Asia expert at Washington's Center for Strategic and InternationalStudies, predicts the Biden administration will "rightly be unhappy that a policy decision like this was made in the final days of the Trump administration." 根據路透社，這一舉動可能不會在美國得到普遍讚揚。華盛頓戰略與國際研究專家Bonnie Glaser預測，拜登政府“對在Trump政府最後幾天做出這樣的政策決定感到非常不滿
英國 Guardian (UK), 1-9-2021	￭  取消美台官員互動指導方針與限制  可能激怒中國  Pompeo lifts US-Taiwan restrictions in move likely to anger China ￭  原先的指導方針作了各種規範限制，包括政府代表在哪裡開會、限制了參加台灣國慶慶典的行列、美國不應將台灣稱為“國家”或“政府”... 近年來，官方越來越少遵循準則，因此正式的更改並不出乎意料 The guidelines set out restrictions including where representatives of either government could meet, and limited the ranks allowed to attend Taiwan’s national day celebrations. It also said the US should not refer to Taiwan as a “country” or “government”In recent years the guidelines have been followed less and less, and the official change was not unexpected ... ￭ 台駐美代表：“消除了幾十年的歧視”、 “是我們的雙邊關係重要的一天、我會珍惜每一個機會" “Decades of discrimination, removed,” Taiwan’s representative in the US, Bi-khim Hsiao, said on Twitter. “A huge day in our bilateral relationship. I will cherish every opportunity.”   ￭  拜登發言人告訴《金融時報》，新任總統一向致力於《台灣關係法》，該法定義了兩國政府關係以及美國對華政策 A spokesperson for the Biden transition team told the Financial Times the incoming president was “committed to the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act” which defined relations between the two governments, and to the US’s one-China policy. full text:  theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/09/mike-pompeo-restrictions-us-taiwan-china
德國 DW (Germany) , 1-9-2021	￭ 台灣的非官方使館: 此舉表明美國與台灣關係的“實力和深度”  Taiwan's unofficial embassy said the move showed the "strength and depth" of the US-Taiwan ties ￭ 中國外交部發言人說，像Pompeo 這樣的“反華政治家”將在剩餘任期內竭盡全力破壞美中關係  Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson : some "anti-Chinese politicians" like Pompeo would do everything in their remaining term to undermine relations between the US and China. www.dw.com/en/us-ends-restrictions-on-official-contacts-with-taiwan/a-56183292

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美國  給中国、台灣的承諾

asia nikkei  (Japan日本),  1-12-2021

美國給中国的承諾 ￭  (1) In the first communique of 1972 /  the U.S. said it "acknowledges" and "does not challenge" that all Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain there is but one China and that Taiwan is a part of China. 美國表示“認知”並且“不挑戰”台灣海峽兩岸的所有中國人都只有一個中國，台灣是中國的一部分 ￭  (2) In the second communique of 1979 /  the U.S. declared that it recognizes the Beijing government as the "sole legal government of China." But it said the people of the U.S. will maintain cultural, commercial and other unofficial relations with the people of Taiwan. 美國宣布承認北京政府為“中國唯一的合法政府” ￭  (3)  In the third communique of 1982 /  the U.S. said it has no intention of "pursuing a policy of 'two Chinas' or 'one China, one Taiwan.'" 美國表示無意``尋求或奉行'兩個中國'或'一中一台'政策。

中国批評美國違反承諾  The Chinese side is criticizing Pompeo's declared new policies as infringing on those long-held American promises asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Trump-takes-parting-shot-over-China-s-bow-with-envoy-to-Taiwan

Global Times (China), 1-25-2021

拜登政府將中美三個聯合公報，《台灣關係法》和六項保證同列，這與川普拒絕提及三個聯合公報不同.  the juxtaposition of the three China-US joint communiqués, the Taiwan Relations Act and the six assurances mentioned in the US statement this time differs from the Trump administration's refusal to mention the three joint communiqués in his later period.  globaltimes.cn/page/202101/1213797.shtml

台灣Focus Taiwan, 1-20-2021

￭ 美國務卿在聽證會強調保證台灣擁有"自衛"能力，且將《台灣關係法》放在中美三個聯合公報之前( "a strong and long bipartisan commitment to Taiwan" in the U.S. based on the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA) and the U.S.-China joint communiqués and that part of this commitment "is making sure that Taiwan has the ability to defend itself against aggression.")  (focustaiwan.tw/politics/202101200006) ￭ U.S. Senate, Committee on Foreign Relations, 4-17-2016 "we remain committed to our one-China policy based on the three joint communiqués and the Taiwan Relations Act."

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●   台灣―亞洲太平洋   外交/國際關係

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◆ Brookings, 2021-8-25:日本官方對台之模糊立場類似美國，但歷來比華盛頓更不願意公開批評北京脅迫台北的行為, 而優先強調和平解決的“希望”  brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2021/08/23/has-japans-policy-toward-the-taiwan-strait-changed/
　

◆ War on the rocks, 2021-12-31: 隨著台海發生戰爭的可能性越來越大，華盛頓的分析界開始質疑韓國的立場。首爾更擔心中國報復的可能性 ，北京在未來的朝鮮統一進程中會變得更加不合作   warontherocks.com/2021/12/south-koreas-taiwan-conundrum/

◆ Associated Press, Yahoo news, 2021-6-11: 日本稱與台灣的關係只是非官方的, 此前北京對日本最近將台灣稱為一個國家表示抗議。日本外相在簡短講話中謹慎地將台灣稱為“一個地區”,日本曾向台灣捐贈 124 萬劑AZ疫苗 Japan says ties with Taiwan are only unofficial  news.yahoo.com/japan-says-taiwan-ties-under-041504209.html

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◆ War on the Rocks,, 2021-11-23:  Japan’s Rapidly Shifting Consensus /  Until recently, Japan treaded far more carefully than the United States on Taiwan, focusing its language on “hope” for peaceful reconciliation between Beijing and Taipei.  warontherocks.com/2021/11/japans-revolution-on-taiwan-affairs/

　

◆ 日本Nikkei, 2021-4-18: 日本不想燒掉通向北京的所有橋樑，美日峰會聯合聲明使用了平淡無奇無動於衷的詞彙、缺乏“形容詞和副詞”、迴避了諸如'保衛台灣'之類的具體語言、留下大量讓人們自己詮釋的空間 asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Taiwan-in-US-Japan-statement-show-of-resolve-or-diplomatic-calculus

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◆ Reuters, 2021-6-16:  港澳政府暫停台灣的代表處，以回應台北對民主人士的支持 Macau's government said on Wednesday it would suspend operations at its representative office in Taiwan, following in the footsteps of Hong Kong, which made a similar move last month in response to Taipei's support for pro-democracy activists there.   reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-regrets-macaus-decision-suspend-representative-office-2021-06-16/

　

◆ Diplomat,  2021-4-21: 中國大陸的外交強制未能取得令人滿意的結果，台灣應對似乎越來越有彈性。北京缺乏台灣內部的盟友，以充當平衡民進黨“挑釁性”政策的反擊力量。 “親大陸”的國民黨和郭文哲的台灣民眾黨不僅對當時的執政黨不構成任何可信的反對勢力，他們還積極尋求與美國建立更好關係。 Beijing is also devoid of allies within Taiwan to act as countervailing forces to balance the Democratic Progressive Party’s “provocative” policies. Not only do the “pro-mainland” Kuomintang and Ko Wen-je’s Taiwan People’s Party pose no credible opposition against the prevailing ruling party, but these parties also actively seek better ties with the United States. (thediplomat.com/2021/04/beijings-military-heavy-approach-to-taiwan-locks-the-us-and-china-in-a-security-dilemma/ )

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◆  Foreign Policy, 2021-4-5 : 為了減少對大陸的依賴，台灣總統'16年上任後宣布了新南向政策（NSP）。NSP旨在促進與東南亞、南亞及 紐西蘭澳洲的經貿聯繫。表面上像是一個不錯的主意，但實際上，NSP近年來步履蹣跚，到2020年台灣與這些國家的貿易實際下降了3％，至2019年下降超過4％。 On paper, it sounds like a decent idea, but in practice the NSP has faltered in recent years to the point where Taiwan’s trade with those countries actually decreased by 3 percent year-on-year in 2020, which followed a year-on-year fall in 2019 by more than 4 percent.   foreignpolicy.com/2021/04/05/taiwan-covid-19-success-china-military-threat/

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◆  Newsweek, 3-2-2021: 蔡上任以來的指導性經濟計劃一直是“新南向政策”，其目標是消除對中國大陸市場的依賴，取而代之的是與南亞、東南亞的合作夥伴建立貿易和安全關係，遠至澳洲和紐西蘭。
據台灣財政部統計，去年台灣對大陸和香港的出口額佔台灣出口總額的40％以上，即出口總額3,452億美元中的1,514億美元 Tsai's guiding economic plan since her first year in office has been her government's "New Southbound Policy," whose goal is to remove reliance on the Chinese market and instead build trading—and security—relationships with partners in South Asia, Southeast Asia and extending as far as Australia and New Zealand.  According to Taiwan's Ministry of Finance, more than 40 percent of the island's exports went to China and Hong Kong last year, accounting for $151.4 billion of its $345.2 billion  newsweek.com/taiwan-allies-rally-defy-chinas-economic-coercion-pineapples-1573124   (China Times, 3-3-2021: 大陸對台的讓利政策。多年來大陸每年通過貿易逆差給台灣送去800至1000億美元的紅利。以經濟部1月8日公布，2020年台灣對大陸（含香港）出口額達1514.52億美元，創歷年新高，同比增長14.6%，占台灣總出口額的43.9%。大陸（含香港）穩居台灣地區最大出口市場和最大順差來源地。2020年台灣總出口額為3452.76億美元，同比增加4.9%；進口額2864.86億美元，同比增長0.3%，貿易順差587.9億美元。若扣除對大陸（含香港）的貿易順差866.73億美元，台灣2020年進出口貿易則出現逆差。chinatimes.com/opinion/20210302005044-262105?chdtv   陳思奕 )

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◆ The Diplomat, 2-5-2021:  台灣總統蔡英文強調了新南向政策的重要性，東南亞和印度是該政策的重點。但有一些阻礙進度的問題。幾十年來，台灣外交政策議程的大部分重點一直以美國為中心，而亞洲的重要性仍然不如美國和歐洲。此外，台灣與新南向國家間沒有外交關係，缺乏互惠性可能是阻礙製訂針對性政策的因素。最後，台灣缺乏對那些國家的專業知識是一個主要障礙。《新南向政策》具有極大的潛力，可以對那些傳統上不是台灣戰略思考對象的國家大幅提高台灣的區域影響力，並且很可能可以為中國試圖打壓台灣國際空間提供答案   (brief)  thediplomat.com/2021/02/perfecting-taiwans-new-southbound-policy/

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◆  Lowy Institute (Australia), 2021-4-30:  東南亞及一定程度的大洋洲，新南向政策政策取得成功。但，在南亞幾乎沒有複製成功  With Southeast Asia and to some extent Australasia, this policy has been a success.   Taipei’s total trade with the members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations increased from US$78 billion to $89 billion, with a growth rate of 13.6% during 2016–20, ...Little of the success was replicated in South Asia, with Taipei’s efforts to tap the potential of India and Bangladesh offering only meagre results.   Before Covid, the inflow of overseas students resulting from the New Southbound Policy also increased from 32,000 in 2016 to 53,000 in 2018, consisting of 30,000 students from Southeast Asia, surpassed the number from China.  lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/taiwan-renewing-southbound-vision

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◆ Global Times, 2021-4-3:  緬甸動盪中 台灣當局是煽動混亂和破壞中緬關係的“黑手”, 比方"大陸製"偽緬鈔綑綁處可見某台資銀行名，台 灣事務學者說台灣只是美國幫凶， 台灣某黨說，緬甸局勢可以揭示台灣的真正“外交局勢”;  一旦緬甸局勢穩定，台灣當局將推行針對緬甸的“新南向政策”，以減少台灣企業對中國大陸的依賴，擴大“外交空間”。Taiwan separatist DPP authority's 'black hand' behind anti-mainland rumors amid Myanmar upheaval.  For example, some people have spread the claim that "counterfeit Myanmar banknotes made in the Chinese mainland have entered the local market," but from the photos taken by the rumormongers, it can be seen that the bundling for the fake banknotes has the words "E.SUN Bank" (a Taiwan-funded bank) printed on it...The spokesman of the Taiwan People's Party recently said that the situation in Myanmar can reveal the real "diplomatic situation" of Taiwan and that the authority does not know much about its neighbors in Southeast Asia and has nothing it can do to help with the situation.  Taipei Economic and Cultural Office in Myanmar ..., its officials often meet with Myanmar personnel, donate some money, and have long been keen to attract local youth to study in Taiwan and cultivate pro-Taiwan forces.  the Taiwan authority would promote the "New Southbound Policy" targeting Myanmar so as to decrease some Taiwan businesses' dependence on the Chinese mainland and expand "diplomatic space."  globaltimes.cn/page/202104/1220154.shtml

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◆  Japan Times, 3-15-2021:  Pineapple diplomacy? China's Taiwan import ban prompts sales surge in Japan. 鳳梨外交中国暫停進口台灣鳳梨後，日本已預訂了超過10,000噸，以感謝台灣在2011年3月11日日本大地震海嘯後的慷慨解囊， 去年台灣出口約45,000噸鳳梨，約95％到大陸 ，2144噸到日本。   japantimes.co.jp/news/2021/03/15/business/pineapples-china-taiwan-imports-japan/

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◆   New York Times, 10-19-2020:  兩岸政府之間緊張關係日益加劇的最新例證:  台灣在斐濟飯店舉行國慶晚宴， 眾多貴賓出席，"台灣的象徵，包括蛋糕上的國旗"， 兩名大陸外交官不請自來地參加了台灣在斐濟的活動，試圖為客人拍照，並冒犯了台灣的象徵，包括蛋糕上的國旗，隨後引發與大陸外交官的混戰"

Latest Clash Between China and Taiwan: A Fistfight in Fiji. (a country in Asia & Pacific)   Two mainland diplomats attended an event, uninvited, and took offense at symbols of Taiwan — including a flag on a cake. A scuffle ensued.

 Taiwan — It was supposed to be a quiet diplomatic event at a stylish beachside hotel in Fiji.  ... the latest example of rising tensions between the two governments.  (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/19/world/asia/china-taiwan-fiji-fight.html)

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◆ aljazeera,  12-16-2020:  LOWY institute :  台灣外交官在斐濟受傷只是中美及盟國在太平洋進行激烈地緣戰略競爭的結果... 2006~2017年台灣給予太平洋島國的優惠貸款和贈款為2.71億美元，但中國多達15億美元... “When the ‘prize’ is Taiwan, the stakes are very high and China will fight very hard”  ◦ The uproar over the recent fisticuffs between Chinese and Taiwanese diplomats in Fiji may have subsided, with the Fijian police declaring the case closed, but the incident has left analysts in the Pacific concerned about what they called Beijing’s increasingly hostile tactics in the region. it was just one outcome of the intensifying geostrategic competition in the Pacific pitting China against the United States and its allies.  (aljazeera.com/features/2020/12/16/fiji-story)

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◆ Global Times,10-25-2020: 台灣的許多獲利企業都是由日本提供資金或從日本獲得投資，包括電子半導體行業。此外，台灣島與日本政界之間的交往也非常密切。自從前台灣地區領導人陳水扁上任以來，這種情況一直在表面上隱約可見。... 美日正深入研討應對可能的“台灣突發事件”，東京非常了解北京對台底線，因此一直對美國打太極拳，但華盛頓憑貿易國防兩張牌，可迫使東京加入“保護”台灣聯盟 globaltimes.cn/content/1204603.shtml

◆  Diplomat, 10-5-2020: 台灣應加倍擴大不對稱防禦( e.g. 對付戰機的mobile systems、long-range surveillance drones ) 、軟實力應用，及加強日本新政府的關係

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◆  Yahoo News,  3-30-2021:  美國駐帛琉大使與帛琉總統一起訪問台灣 彰顯了華盛頓對台灣的支持。  news.yahoo.com/palau-president-visits-taiwan-amid-052321185.html

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◆  WSJ (Wall Street Journal) 9-20-2019: 台灣這麼快失去太平洋地區最大的二個盟邦顯然是中国的外交大勝   Washington Post 9-25-2019: China’s growing dominance in the South Pacific is a defeat for an America in retreat.    New York Times 9-20-2019:  As Taiwan Loses Influence, China Gains Ground in Race With U.S. ◆

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●   台灣―拉丁美洲   外交/國際關係

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◆  WHBL (USA), 3-14-2021: 巴拉圭是台灣在南美的唯一外交盟邦，北京正擴大影響力爭取台灣僅存的15個盟邦，美國國務卿敦促巴拉圭與台灣合作克服COVID-19疫情 The United States has expressed concern at Beijing's efforts to win over the remaining 15 countries which still have formal ties with Taipei and expand Chinese influence.        whbl.com/2021/03/14/u-s-urges-paraguay-to-work-with-taiwan-amid-pandemic-protests/

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◆  Global Times, 2021-5-12:  Time for Taiwan’s remaining ‘allies’ to think of their losses /  台灣與這些“盟友”的關係是透過“美元外交”維持的，這不是真正的外交，而是在美國的協助下與大陸的對峙。當台灣無力提供利益時，他們轉身而去也是很正常的。 turn their backs.   globaltimes.cn/page/202105/1223311.shtml

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◆  Gzero, 3-17-2021: 台灣疫苗外交：台灣已向南美唯一承認其脫離中國獨立的國家巴拉圭提供援助，以幫助其購買COVID疫苗。台灣在南美的最後一戰。  gzeromedia.com/what-were-watching-netherlands-election-us-election-meddling-taiwans-vaccine-diplomacy-effort

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◆  China Times, 3-18-2021, editorial: 心酸的疫苗外交 - 研判蔡政府金援巴拉圭買疫苗，這次的Taiwan can help耗資約2億。於是巴拉圭覆蓋率將是28.6%，台灣至今只得11.7萬劑，覆蓋率僅有0.5%。    chinatimes.com/opinion/20210318004639-262103?chdtv

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◆  East Asia Forum, 3-4-2021:  In Feb. 2021, 中國大陸實際上“了解” 台灣決定在蓋亞那設立一個非正式貿易辦事處的決定，畢竟，大陸並沒有反對台灣與其他國家發展經濟，貿易和文化關係 ，  但是不幸的是，外交已成為台灣政治的工具，這是海峽兩岸的悲劇  ， 這次台灣公開宣布，蓋亞那的“台灣辦事處”具有官方功能(official functions)，相當於一個“代表處”，台獨媒體稱這是“外交突破”。台灣的高調激怒了中国，令圭亞那感到尷尬 ，此外， 美國國務院等立即發布新聞稿，鼓勵其他國家發展與台灣的關係 。終致“代表處”胎死腹中 。  現實情況是，台灣的外交關係不能與兩岸關係脫鉤。 (After Beijing criticizes 'mistake, Guyana said it was rolling back the agreement )   eastasiaforum.org/2021/03/04/the-guyana-incident-and-lessons-for-taiwans-international-space/   

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Taiwan-China-US diplomatic battle in Latin America

￭  The Guardian, 2-4-2021: 稍早台灣外交部宣布已經與蓋亞那簽署協議，開設台灣辦事處 - 實際上就是台灣的"使館"，在北京批判“錯誤”後，蓋亞那突然終止了與台灣達成的協議  After Beijing criticizes 'mistake, Guyana said it was rolling back the agreement – and that it continued to adhere to the “One China” policy.  Earlier Taiwan’s foreign ministry announced it had signed an agreement with Guyana to open a Taiwan office – effectively a de facto embassy for the island that China claims as its sovereign territory with no right to diplomatic ties. (brief) theguardian.com/world/2021/feb/04/guyana-taiwan-office-agreement-beijing-criticism 　 ￭  Reuters, 2-4-2021: 台灣外交部周四表示，已經在蓋亞那開設了以台灣為名的代表處，這受到美國的稱讚，美國一直擔心中國在南美(拉丁美洲)的影響力不斷深化。